Cardiovascular

Association between cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of incident venous thromboembolism: a prospective cohort study.

TL;DR

Higher cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with a lower risk of incident venous thromboembolism, with each 1-MET increment associated with an 8% lower VTE risk, and this inverse association was consistently observed regardless of genetic susceptibility.

Key Findings

Each 1-metabolic equivalents increment in cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with an 8% lower risk of incident venous thromboembolism.

  • HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.95 per 1-MET increment in CRF
  • Analysis based on 63,755 UK Biobank participants without prior VTE
  • CRF was estimated using a submaximal cycle ergometer test
  • Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for potential confounders were used
  • During a median follow-up of 12.5 years, 1,744 incident VTE cases were documented

High cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with a 27% lower risk of incident VTE compared with low cardiorespiratory fitness.

  • HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.63-0.84 for high vs. low CRF
  • CRF was classified into low (<20th percentile), moderate (20th-60th percentile), and high (>60th percentile) categories
  • Categories were standardized by sex and 10-year age groups
  • Study population was drawn from the UK Biobank

The inverse association between cardiorespiratory fitness and VTE risk was consistently observed across all genetic risk strata.

  • Polygenic risk scores for VTE were categorized into low, middle, and high tertiles
  • The protective association of higher CRF with VTE risk persisted regardless of genetic susceptibility
  • This finding suggests CRF's protective effect is independent of inherited predisposition to VTE

Circulating biomarkers related to inflammation, hepatobiliary function, and renal function collectively accounted for approximately 21.5% of the association between cardiorespiratory fitness and VTE risk.

  • The mediating biomarkers identified were C-reactive protein, alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyl transferase, cystatin C, and creatinine
  • Mediation analyses were performed to assess the contribution of these circulating biomarkers
  • The remaining ~78.5% of the association was not explained by these biomarkers, suggesting other pathways are involved
  • C-reactive protein represents an inflammation marker; alkaline phosphatase and gamma-glutamyl transferase are hepatobiliary enzymes; cystatin C and creatinine are renal function markers

The study included 63,755 UK Biobank participants free of prior VTE, among whom 1,744 incident VTE cases were documented over a median follow-up of 12.5 years.

  • VTE was ascertained through linkage to national health records
  • The prospective cohort design allowed for longitudinal assessment of CRF and VTE incidence
  • CRF measurement used a submaximal cycle ergometer test, a standardized objective measure

What This Means

This research suggests that people with better cardiovascular fitness—the ability of the heart and lungs to supply oxygen to muscles during exercise—have a meaningfully lower risk of developing dangerous blood clots in their veins (a condition called venous thromboembolism, or VTE). The study followed nearly 64,000 adults from the UK Biobank for about 12.5 years, measuring their fitness using an exercise bike test. Those with the highest fitness levels had a 27% lower risk of developing VTE compared to those with the lowest fitness levels, and every incremental improvement in fitness was linked to an 8% reduction in risk. Importantly, this protective effect held true even for people who had a high genetic predisposition to VTE, meaning that being physically fit may help counteract inherited risk. The researchers also found that a portion of this protective effect—about 21.5%—could be explained by biological markers in the blood, specifically those related to inflammation (C-reactive protein), liver function (alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyl transferase), and kidney function (cystatin C and creatinine). This suggests that fitness may reduce VTE risk partly by lowering inflammation and improving organ function, though the majority of the mechanism remains unexplained. This research matters because VTE, which includes deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is a leading cause of cardiovascular death and disability. These findings add to growing evidence that physical fitness—which can be improved through regular exercise—may be an important, modifiable factor in reducing VTE risk across a wide range of people, including those with a genetic predisposition to the condition.

Have a question about this study?

Citation

Zhou H, Zhang R, Jiang Z, Guo Y, Guo L, Ke H, et al.. (2026). Association between cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of incident venous thromboembolism: a prospective cohort study.. Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rpth.2026.106898