Cardiovascular

Association Between Systolic Blood Pressure Time in Target Range and Graft Outcomes in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Result From KOTRY and KNOW-KT.

TL;DR

A higher proportion of time with SBP within the target range of 110 to 130 mm Hg was associated with a lower risk of graft dysfunction, with consistent effects across most subgroups and more pronounced benefits in high-risk populations.

Key Findings

Each 1-SD increase in SBP time in target range (TTR) was associated with a 20% lower risk of the composite outcome of death-censored graft loss or ≥50% decline in eGFR.

  • Adjusted hazard ratio per 1-SD increase in SBP-TTR: 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71–0.91)
  • SBP target range was defined as 110–130 mm Hg
  • TTR was calculated using linear interpolation of office blood pressure measurements
  • Median follow-up was 4 years
  • Main cohort included 4,559 kidney transplant recipients from the KOTRY registry

Higher SBP-TTR categories showed progressively lower risks of the composite graft outcome compared to the 0% TTR group.

  • 1%–50% SBP-TTR group: aHR 0.69 (95% CI, 0.50–0.95)
  • 51%–99% SBP-TTR group: aHR 0.63 (95% CI, 0.46–0.87)
  • 100% SBP-TTR group: aHR 0.47 (95% CI, 0.31–0.71)
  • All comparisons were relative to recipients with 0% SBP-TTR
  • The dose-response relationship suggests a gradient of benefit with increasing time in target range

SBP-TTR was not significantly associated with all-cause death after multivariable adjustment in either cohort.

  • Main cohort (KOTRY): aHR per 1-SD increase, 0.88 (95% CI, 0.71–1.09)
  • The replication cohort (KNOW-KT, n=828) showed similar non-significant results for all-cause death
  • Multivariable adjustment was applied in both analyses
  • This contrasts with the significant association observed for graft outcomes

Stronger associations between SBP-TTR and graft outcomes were observed in specific high-risk subgroups.

  • Stronger associations were seen among recipients of deceased donor kidneys
  • Recipients with older donors showed more pronounced benefit
  • Recipients with female donors showed stronger associations
  • Recipients with a higher baseline SBP had more pronounced benefits
  • Effects were described as consistent across most subgroups

The association between SBP-TTR and graft outcomes was replicated in an independent multicenter cohort.

  • Replication cohort consisted of 828 kidney transplant recipients from KNOW-KT (Korean Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients With Kidney Transplantation)
  • Blood pressure measurements in the replication cohort were taken at 12, 24, and 36 months after transplantation (versus 6, 12, and 24 months in the main cohort)
  • The replication cohort showed similar associations to the main KOTRY cohort
  • Both cohorts are nationwide or multicenter prospective observational studies based in Korea

The study used a prospective observational cohort design with SBP-TTR calculated via linear interpolation of serial office blood pressure measurements.

  • Main cohort: 4,559 kidney transplant recipients from KOTRY (nationwide registry)
  • Replication cohort: 828 recipients from KNOW-KT (multicenter cohort)
  • SBP-TTR was defined as the proportion of time with SBP within 110–130 mm Hg
  • TTR was calculated using linear interpolation of office BP at 6, 12, and 24 months post-transplant in the main cohort
  • Primary outcome was a composite of death-censored graft loss or ≥50% decline in eGFR

What This Means

This research suggests that kidney transplant patients whose blood pressure stays consistently within a target range of 110–130 mm Hg have substantially better kidney graft outcomes than those whose blood pressure is more erratic or outside this range. Rather than looking at a single blood pressure reading, the researchers measured what proportion of time (over the first two years after transplant) each patient's systolic blood pressure remained in this target zone—a concept called 'time in target range' (TTR). Among nearly 4,600 transplant recipients followed for a median of four years, those who spent the most time in the target range had about half the risk of serious graft problems (such as graft loss or a major drop in kidney function) compared to those who never achieved the target. The benefit appeared to follow a dose-response pattern: the more time spent in the target blood pressure range, the lower the risk of graft dysfunction. This pattern held across most patient subgroups, but was especially pronounced in higher-risk patients, such as those who received kidneys from deceased donors, older donors, female donors, or who had higher blood pressure at baseline. Importantly, the findings were confirmed in a second, independent group of 828 transplant patients, strengthening confidence in the results. However, blood pressure control in this range was not significantly associated with overall survival (death from any cause). This research suggests that maintaining steady, consistent blood pressure control within the 110–130 mm Hg range—rather than just achieving a target at a single visit—may be an important goal for protecting transplanted kidneys. The authors note that because this was an observational study, it cannot prove that better blood pressure control directly causes better graft outcomes, and they call for randomized controlled trials to confirm whether actively targeting this range improves outcomes for kidney transplant recipients.

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Citation

Koh H, Kim H, Park C, Ryu J, Jung H, Kim M, et al.. (2026). Association Between Systolic Blood Pressure Time in Target Range and Graft Outcomes in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Result From KOTRY and KNOW-KT.. Journal of the American Heart Association. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.125.048247