Cardiovascular

Association of admission aggregate index of systemic inflammation with lower-extremity deep vein thrombosis after severe trauma.

TL;DR

In 223 adults with severe trauma, higher admission AISI was independently associated with ultrasound-confirmed in-hospital lower-extremity DVT and improved discrimination over clinical variables, but its added value beyond coagulation markers was uncertain and requires prospective external validation; AISI should be interpreted as a complementary admission marker.

Key Findings

Lower-extremity DVT was common in this severe trauma cohort, affecting 41.7% of patients with evaluable ultrasonography.

  • Retrospective cohort of 223 adults with Injury Severity Score ≥16 and evaluable bilateral lower-extremity ultrasonography.
  • 93 patients (41.7%) had ultrasound-confirmed in-hospital LEDVT.
  • LEDVT was detected before the earlier of discharge or post-injury day 30.

Higher admission AISI was independently associated with LEDVT after adjustment for clinical covariates.

  • Each 1-SD increase in log-transformed AISI had an OR of 2.07 (95% CI, 1.47-2.91; P < 0.001).
  • Adjusted for age, sex, Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and shock index.
  • AISI is derived from platelet, neutrophil, monocyte, and lymphocyte counts.

The association between AISI and LEDVT persisted after additional adjustment for coagulation markers, though the effect size was somewhat attenuated.

  • OR 1.86 (95% CI, 1.26-2.73; P = 0.002) per 1-SD increase in log-AISI.
  • Additional adjustment for D-dimer, fibrin/fibrinogen degradation products, prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, and fibrinogen.

Adding AISI to clinical variables significantly improved discrimination for LEDVT.

  • AUC increased from 0.619 to 0.714.
  • AUC difference 0.095 (bootstrap 95% CI, 0.023 to 0.168; P = 0.009).

When coagulation markers were already in the model, AISI's added discrimination was small and statistically uncertain, though overall prediction accuracy (Brier score) improved.

  • AUC difference 0.018 (95% CI, -0.010 to 0.046; P = 0.166).
  • Brier score improved by 0.014 (P = 0.020).

Internal validation of the full model (Model 4) showed good discrimination but evidence of optimism/shrinkage.

  • Bootstrap-corrected AUC 0.797 and repeated-cross-validation AUC 0.790.
  • Calibration slopes were 0.831 (bootstrap) and 0.773 (cross-validation), below 1, indicating overfitting.
  • Model had 93 events and 11 candidate parameters.

The authors conclude AISI is a complementary admission marker requiring prospective external validation.

  • Internally validated results indicate shrinkage.
  • Retrospective single-cohort design limits generalizability.

What This Means

This study looked at whether a blood-count-based inflammation score measured when severely injured patients arrive at the hospital could help identify who will develop blood clots in the leg veins (deep vein thrombosis, DVT). The score, called AISI, is calculated from routine counts of platelets and several white blood cell types. Among 223 severely injured adults who had leg ultrasound scans, about 42% developed DVT. Patients with higher AISI at admission were substantially more likely to have DVT, even after accounting for age, sex, injury severity, level of consciousness, shock, and standard clotting tests. Adding AISI to basic clinical information noticeably improved the ability to tell who would and would not develop DVT. However, once standard clotting blood tests were also considered, the extra benefit in distinguishing patients was small and uncertain, though overall prediction accuracy improved slightly. This research suggests AISI, which uses inexpensive routine blood tests, may be a useful complementary signal of DVT risk after major trauma. The study was retrospective and relatively small, and the prediction model's performance was somewhat overoptimistic in internal testing, so the findings need confirmation in prospective studies at other hospitals before being used in practice.

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Citation

Sun Q, Bian D. (2026). Association of admission aggregate index of systemic inflammation with lower-extremity deep vein thrombosis after severe trauma.. PloS one. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0360039