Plasma C16:0-Cer served as an independent predictor for stroke-associated pneumonia in acute ischemic stroke patients, demonstrating moderate predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.725, suggesting its potential as a novel biomarker for early SAP risk stratification.
Key Findings
Results
Plasma ceramide levels (C16:0-Cer, C18:0-Cer, C24:1-Cer, C24:0-Cer) and CERT1 score were higher in patients with AIS than healthy controls.
The study included 266 eligible patients with AIS and 93 healthy controls.
All four ceramide subspecies measured — C16:0-Cer, C18:0-Cer, C24:1-Cer, and C24:0-Cer — were elevated in AIS patients compared to healthy controls.
The Coronary Event Risk Test 1 (CERT1) score, a composite ceramide-based score, was also significantly higher in AIS patients than healthy controls.
Plasma ceramide concentrations were obtained from medical records in this retrospective study.
Results
C16:0-Cer and C18:0-Cer levels, along with CERT1 score, were significantly elevated in SAP patients compared with non-SAP patients.
Among the four ceramide subspecies measured, C16:0-Cer and C18:0-Cer specifically differentiated SAP from non-SAP patients within the AIS cohort.
C24:1-Cer and C24:0-Cer did not significantly differ between SAP and non-SAP patients.
CERT1 score was also significantly higher in SAP compared to non-SAP patients.
Comparisons were conducted before and after propensity score matching.
Results
C16:0-Cer, C18:0-Cer, and CERT1 score were positively correlated with stroke severity as measured by NIHSS and mRS scores.
Levels of C16:0-Cer, C18:0-Cer, and CERT1 score were positively correlated with both the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and modified Rankin scale (mRS) scores.
Patients with minor ischemic stroke had lower levels of C16:0-Cer, C18:0-Cer, and CERT1 score compared with those with moderate and severe ischemic stroke.
This suggests ceramide levels track with neurological deficit severity.
Results
The A2DS2 score, C16:0-Cer, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were identified as independent risk factors for SAP.
LASSO regression was used to select variables prior to multivariate analysis.
Multivariate analysis identified four independent risk factors for SAP: A2DS2 score, C16:0-Cer, hs-CRP, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.
The inclusion of both inflammatory markers (hs-CRP, NLR) and a ceramide subspecies (C16:0-Cer) suggests overlapping inflammatory and sphingolipid pathways in SAP risk.
Results
C16:0-Cer demonstrated moderate predictive accuracy for SAP with an AUC of 0.725, sensitivity of 74.0%, and specificity of 61.2%.
Predictive values were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
C16:0-Cer achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.725 for predicting SAP.
The sensitivity was 74.0% and specificity was 61.2% at the optimal cut-off.
The authors described this as 'moderate predictive accuracy,' suggesting potential as a novel biomarker for early SAP risk stratification.
Li H, Lu M, Ye X, Guo X, Ma T, Zhang Z, et al.. (2026). Association of plasma ceramide with stroke-associated pneumonia in acute ischemic stroke.. Frontiers in immunology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1739949