Association of the Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX) with short-term mortality in critically ill patients with congestive heart failure: A retrospective cohort study from the MIMIC database.
EASIX is a robust predictor of short-term mortality in patients with critical CHF, with the highest quartile exhibiting a 60% increased mortality risk beyond conventional severity scores.
Key Findings
Results
The highest EASIX quartile was associated with significantly higher 30-day all-cause mortality compared to the lowest quartile in critically ill CHF patients.
Among 4556 patients, the highest EASIX quartile (Q4) had a 44.2% 30-day mortality rate versus 19.2% in Q1.
Adjusted hazard ratio for Q4 vs Q1 was 1.60 (95% CI: 1.27–2.02, P < .001).
Median patient age was 72.1 years, and 42.8% were female.
Data were drawn from the MIMIC-IV database covering 2008–2022.
Results
A nonlinear association was observed between ln(EASIX) and 30-day mortality, with an inflection point at ln(EASIX) = 0.05.
Nonlinearity was confirmed by restricted cubic spline analysis (nonlinearity P = .008).
Beyond the inflection point of ln(EASIX) = 0.05, each unit increase in ln(EASIX) conferred a 14.2% higher mortality risk (HR = 1.142, 95% CI: 1.062–1.227).
The relationship below the inflection point was not described as statistically significant in the same manner.
Results
EASIX remained an independent predictor of short-term mortality after full adjustment for severity scores and treatments.
Multivariable Cox regression was used with adjustment for severity scores and treatments.
The highest quartile (Q4) maintained a 60% increased mortality risk after full adjustment (adjusted HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.27–2.02).
EASIX is calculated as lactate dehydrogenase divided by creatinine divided by platelets.
The study design was a retrospective cohort study using MIMIC-IV data.
Results
EASIX was found to be particularly valuable as a mortality predictor in nonsepsis populations with critical CHF.
Subgroup analyses were performed as part of the analytical approach.
The authors specifically noted EASIX as 'particularly valuable in nonsepsis populations.'
The overall cohort included 4556 adults with CHF admitted to the ICU, stratified by ln(EASIX) quartiles.
Background
Endothelial injury, as quantified by EASIX, plays a role in worsening congestive heart failure outcomes in critically ill patients.
EASIX was designed to capture endothelial activation and stress through its components: lactate dehydrogenase, creatinine, and platelets.
The study was motivated by the previously unquantified role of endothelial injury in worsening CHF.
The primary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality in ICU-admitted CHF patients.
The authors conclude that EASIX 'refines risk stratification beyond conventional severity scores.'
Dong X, Huang Y, Hu M, Zhen P, Li X. (2026). Association of the Endothelial Activation and Stress Index (EASIX) with short-term mortality in critically ill patients with congestive heart failure: A retrospective cohort study from the MIMIC database.. Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000047988