Cardiovascular

Associations Between Albumin-Corrected Anion Gap and Mortality in Heart Failure Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

TL;DR

ACAG is closely associated with the risk of mortality in HF patients with COPD and appears to be a potential prognostic predictor for this population, aiding in risk stratification.

Key Findings

In-hospital and 30-day mortality rates among HF patients with COPD in the ICU were 11.2% and 13.7%, respectively.

  • Study included 1283 patients with heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from the MIMIC-IV database.
  • 54.6% of the cohort were male.
  • ACAG levels were assessed within 24 hours of ICU admission.
  • This was a retrospective cohort study using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database.

Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significantly increased mortality risk in patients with higher ACAG levels.

  • Log-rank P<0.001 for the association between higher ACAG levels and increased mortality risk.
  • Patients were stratified into tertiles (T1, T2, T3) based on ACAG levels.
  • The analysis was conducted for both in-hospital and 30-day mortality outcomes.

Higher ACAG levels (T3 vs T1) were independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality in fully adjusted Cox regression models.

  • Hazard ratio for in-hospital mortality comparing highest to lowest ACAG tertile: 2.04 (95% CI: 1.18–3.54; p=0.011).
  • Multivariate Cox regression models were used with full adjustment for confounders.
  • Results were consistent across subgroup analyses.

Higher ACAG levels (T3 vs T1) were independently associated with increased 30-day mortality in fully adjusted Cox regression models.

  • Hazard ratio for 30-day mortality comparing highest to lowest ACAG tertile: 1.83 (95% CI: 1.12–2.97; p=0.015).
  • Multivariate Cox regression models were used with full adjustment for confounders.
  • Results were consistent across subgroup analyses.

Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis revealed a linear relationship between ACAG and mortality risk.

  • The linear relationship was consistent across subgroups.
  • RCS analysis was used to examine the dose-response relationship between ACAG and mortality.
  • No nonlinear threshold effect was identified.

ACAG demonstrated superior discriminatory ability for in-hospital mortality compared to anion gap alone and albumin alone.

  • AUC for ACAG predicting in-hospital mortality: 0.693.
  • AUC for anion gap predicting in-hospital mortality: 0.571.
  • AUC for albumin predicting in-hospital mortality: 0.640.
  • Similar findings were observed for 30-day mortality.
  • ROC curve analysis was used to assess and compare discriminatory performance.

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Citation

Wu G, Ke H, Jin Z, Shen Z, Tong Z. (2026). Associations Between Albumin-Corrected Anion Gap and Mortality in Heart Failure Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study.. International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. https://doi.org/10.2147/COPD.S574358