Cardiovascular

Beyond conventional lipid markers: Atherogenic index of plasma and triglyceride-glucose index in relation to cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older adults.

TL;DR

AIP and the TyG index showed similar positive linear associations with incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity and comparable modest predictive performance beyond conventional lipid markers in older adults.

Key Findings

Higher atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) was significantly associated with increased odds of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) in older adults.

  • Per 1-SD increase in AIP: OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.15-1.73
  • Highest vs lowest tertile of AIP: OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.22-3.60
  • Associations were multivariable-adjusted
  • 131 cases of CMM were recorded over 12-15 years of follow-up

Higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was significantly associated with increased odds of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity, with a magnitude similar to AIP.

  • Per 1-SD increase in TyG index: OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.25-1.82
  • Highest vs lowest tertile of TyG index: OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.21-3.55
  • Associations were multivariable-adjusted
  • The association magnitude was comparable to that observed for AIP

Incorporation of AIP into a conventional risk model resulted in only modest improvement in discrimination for predicting CMM.

  • Comparable modest improvement in discrimination was observed for the TyG index
  • Neither marker demonstrated substantially superior predictive performance over conventional risk models
  • AIP and TyG index showed comparable predictive performance to each other

Both AIP and TyG index showed similar positive linear associations with incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

  • The dose-response relationship was positive and linear for both markers
  • No non-linear patterns were reported, suggesting consistent risk elevation across the range of both indices
  • The two indices performed comparably across analyses

The study population consisted of 2261 older adults from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) who were free of cardiometabolic disease at baseline.

  • Mean age was 63 years; 45.0% were men
  • Baseline data were collected in 2008-2009
  • CMM was defined as the occurrence of ≥2 of the following conditions by 2021-2023: hypertension, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or stroke
  • 131 cases of incident CMM were recorded over 12-15 years of follow-up

What This Means

This research suggests that two blood-based markers — the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index — are both linked to a higher risk of developing multiple cardiometabolic diseases (such as high blood pressure, heart disease, diabetes, or stroke) simultaneously in older adults. The study followed over 2,200 English adults with an average age of 63 for up to 15 years, and found that people with the highest levels of either marker were roughly twice as likely to develop two or more of these conditions compared to those with the lowest levels. Importantly, both markers performed similarly to each other, suggesting neither is clearly superior for identifying at-risk individuals. However, when either marker was added to existing conventional risk prediction models, the improvement in the ability to predict who would go on to develop multiple cardiometabolic conditions was only modest. This means that while both AIP and TyG index are meaningfully associated with cardiometabolic risk, they may not dramatically change how well clinicians can predict disease compared to tools already in use. This research suggests these markers could serve as supplementary tools in assessing cardiometabolic risk in older adults, but further research may be needed to determine how best to integrate them into clinical practice.

Have a question about this study?

Citation

Kunutsor S, Jae S, Laukkanen J. (2026). Beyond conventional lipid markers: Atherogenic index of plasma and triglyceride-glucose index in relation to cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older adults.. Primary care diabetes. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pcd.2026.08.007