Cardiovascular

Cardiovascular, Renal, and Pulmonary Risks of Long COVID: A Retrospective Cohort Study Stratified by Age and Sex.

TL;DR

Clinically recognized Long COVID was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular, renal, and pulmonary outcomes, with relatively higher relative risks observed in younger adults, particularly young women for cardiovascular and renal outcomes and young men for pulmonary outcomes.

Key Findings

Long COVID was associated with higher risk of most cardiovascular, renal, and pulmonary (CRP) outcomes across all age groups regardless of sex.

  • The study analyzed 15 CRP outcomes in adults with documented COVID-19 classified by presence or absence of clinically recognized Long COVID.
  • The global TriNetX network included more than 150 million patients; 2,613,432 adults were identified with COVID-19.
  • After propensity score matching for age, sex, and common confounders, 315,612 matched individuals were included in the final analysis.
  • Patients with preexisting outcomes of interest were excluded prior to matching.
  • Findings remained directionally consistent across sensitivity analyses.

Relative risks for cardiovascular, renal, and pulmonary outcomes were disproportionately higher in younger adults (ages 18–50) compared with older age groups.

  • The study stratified analyses by three age groups: 18–50, 51–64, and ≥65 years.
  • Younger adults demonstrated higher relative risks despite potentially lower absolute risks compared with older adults.
  • This age-stratified pattern was observed across cardiovascular, renal, and pulmonary outcome categories.
  • The disproportionate relative risk in younger adults was identified as a key finding supporting the need for surveillance in this population.

Young women with Long COVID faced disproportionately higher relative risks for cardiovascular and renal outcomes, while young men faced disproportionately higher relative risks for pulmonary outcomes.

  • Sex-stratified analyses were conducted within each age group.
  • The differential sex-based pattern was most pronounced in the youngest age group (18–50 years).
  • Cardiovascular and renal outcome risks were particularly elevated in young women.
  • Pulmonary outcome risks were particularly elevated in young men.
  • This sex-stratified finding suggests that Long COVID may manifest differently by sex, especially in younger adults.

Prior SARS-CoV-2 vaccination was not consistently associated with reduced cardiovascular, renal, or pulmonary risk in individuals with Long COVID.

  • Vaccination status was examined as a potential modifier of CRP outcome risk.
  • The association between prior vaccination and CRP outcomes was not consistent across the analyses.
  • This finding was noted as an important observation given widespread interest in vaccination as a Long COVID risk-reduction strategy.
  • The authors did not conclude that vaccination was protective against Long COVID-associated CRP outcomes based on their data.

The study used propensity score matching to control for age, sex, and common confounders when comparing Long COVID versus non-Long COVID COVID-19 survivors.

  • The retrospective cohort design used the TriNetX global network, a large real-world database.
  • Adults with COVID-19 were classified by the presence or absence of clinically recognized Long COVID as documented in medical records.
  • Propensity score matching was applied after exclusion of patients with preexisting outcomes of interest.
  • Both absolute risks and relative risks were calculated for all 15 CRP outcomes.
  • The large matched sample of 315,612 individuals provided substantial statistical power for subgroup analyses.

The authors concluded that findings support the need for continuing surveillance and risk-reduction strategies for cardiovascular and related disorders in Long COVID.

  • The study identified elevated CRP risks even in younger adults, a group not traditionally prioritized for cardiovascular surveillance.
  • The sex-differentiated risk patterns suggest that monitoring and prevention strategies may need to be tailored by both age and sex.
  • The authors framed their conclusions around clinical implications for ongoing Long COVID management.
  • The population-level scope of the TriNetX dataset (>150 million patients) was cited as supporting the generalizability of findings.

What This Means

This research suggests that people who develop Long COVID — the condition where symptoms persist long after an acute COVID-19 infection — face meaningfully higher risks of heart, kidney, and lung problems compared to people who recovered from COVID-19 without developing Long COVID. Using a very large database of over 150 million patients, researchers carefully matched Long COVID patients with similar COVID-19 survivors who did not develop Long COVID, and then tracked 15 different heart, kidney, and lung outcomes across different age and sex groups. They found elevated risks across virtually all outcomes and all age groups. One of the most striking findings was that while older adults may face higher absolute risks of these health problems, younger adults with Long COVID (ages 18–50) showed disproportionately high relative risks — meaning Long COVID raised their odds of these complications by a greater factor compared to their peers without Long COVID. The study also found that these elevated risks differed by sex: young women with Long COVID were at particularly higher relative risk for cardiovascular and kidney outcomes, while young men were at particularly higher relative risk for pulmonary (lung) outcomes. Importantly, having received a COVID-19 vaccine before infection was not consistently linked to lower risk of these complications in Long COVID patients. This research suggests that Long COVID is not just a condition affecting older or already-sick individuals — younger adults, including those who might otherwise be considered low-risk for heart and kidney disease, may need closer medical monitoring after developing Long COVID. The findings highlight a potential need for healthcare systems to develop age- and sex-specific surveillance and prevention strategies for people living with Long COVID, rather than focusing only on traditionally high-risk groups.

Have a question about this study?

Citation

Pradeep A, Ramalho I, Carvour M, Sivamurugan S, Singh U, Comellas A, et al.. (2026). Cardiovascular, Renal, and Pulmonary Risks of Long COVID: A Retrospective Cohort Study Stratified by Age and Sex.. Journal of the American Heart Association. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.126.049226