Three distinct cognitive aging trajectory groups were identified in rural Malawi, with heterogeneity such that while some individuals experience healthy cognitive aging, a nontrivial subgroup experiences accelerated cognitive decline over the life course.
Key Findings
Results
Three distinct cognitive trajectory groups were identified in rural Malawi among adults aged 45 years and older.
36% of respondents belonged to the 'high' cognition group characterized by a stable relative decline in cognition over time
46% belonged to the 'medium' cognition group experiencing intermediate relative decline by age 80 years
18% of respondents belonged to the 'low' cognition group experiencing the largest relative decline in cognition by age 80 years
Latent-class trajectory models were used to identify these distinct trajectories
Sample included 1214 adults aged ≥45 years from the Mature Adults Cohort of the Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health
Methods
Longitudinal cognitive data spanning a decade were used to characterize aging trajectories in rural Malawi.
Data were collected from 2012 to 2022
The study used the Mature Adults Cohort of the Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health (MLSFH)
The study was conducted in a low-income country in sub-Saharan Africa
1214 adults aged ≥45 years were included in the analysis
Results
Membership in higher cognition trajectory groups was associated with being male, having more education, better housing, and being born in a younger cohort.
Individuals on higher cognition trajectories were more likely to be men
Having completed a primary or secondary level of schooling was associated with higher cognition trajectory group membership
Living in a house with a metal roof (a proxy for socioeconomic status) was associated with higher cognition trajectories
Being born in younger cohorts was associated with higher cognition trajectory group membership
Associations were estimated using fractional multinomial logit regression models
Results
Heterogeneity exists in cognitive aging trajectories in Malawi, with a nontrivial subgroup experiencing accelerated cognitive decline.
18% of respondents belonged to the 'low' cognition group experiencing the largest relative decline by age 80 years
The authors describe this subgroup as 'nontrivial' experiencing 'accelerated cognitive decline over the life course'
The findings provide guidance for policymakers in developing targeted programs to prevent or reduce the burden of cognitive decline among high-risk groups
Resources for treatment and care are described as limited in Malawi
Background
Understanding of cognitive aging in low-income countries such as Malawi has been limited prior to this study.
The study investigated heterogeneity in cognitive aging trajectories in rural Malawi, described as 'a low-income country in sub-Saharan Africa in which the current understanding of cognitive aging is limited'
The study context is a rural, low-income setting, where resources for treatment and care are limited
The results are intended to enhance healthy cognitive aging among older adults in Malawi
Ray N, Kohler H, Hoang C, Purcell H, Kulisewa K, Zulu A, et al.. (2026). Cognitive aging across the life course in a low-income context: evidence from Malawi.. International journal of epidemiology. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaf220