Cardiovascular

Comparison of High-Sensitivity Troponin T Versus N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide for Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery.

TL;DR

Hs-TnT and NT-proBNP were associated with major adverse cardiovascular events and death after noncardiac surgery, but their contribution to risk prediction over RCRI and age was limited, and no significant difference was found between biomarkers.

Key Findings

Both preoperative hs-TnT and NT-proBNP were significantly associated with 30-day MACE and death after noncardiac surgery.

  • Study pooled data from METREPAIR and MINSS studies involving 2251 patients with elevated cardiovascular risk undergoing elective noncardiac surgery.
  • MACE occurred in 5.8% of patients (131/2251) and death in 1.6% (37/2251).
  • Both biomarkers were significantly associated with outcomes in logistic regression models that included Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) and age.
  • Patients had elevated cardiovascular risk and were undergoing elective noncardiac surgery.

Only hs-TnT statistically improved discrimination for predicting 30-day death when added to RCRI and age.

  • AUC for RCRI+age+hs-TnT model for death = 0.680 versus AUC for RCRI+age = 0.674.
  • Delta AUC: 0.006; P=0.047.
  • NT-proBNP did not achieve a statistically significant improvement in discrimination for death.
  • Neither biomarker produced a clinically large improvement in AUC for the death endpoint.

The contribution of both biomarkers to risk prediction over RCRI and age alone was limited for predicting MACE.

  • Neither hs-TnT nor NT-proBNP significantly improved discrimination for the primary endpoint of 30-day MACE.
  • Brier scores and calibration slopes showed good calibration for all models, including base models with RCRI and age only.
  • Decision curve analysis was conducted at predefined thresholds for MACE and death.
  • The incremental predictive value of both biomarkers beyond RCRI and age was described as limited.

Decision curve analysis showed no clinically meaningful advantage of hs-TnT over NT-proBNP or vice versa for predicting MACE or death.

  • Benefit equivalents of RCRI+hs-TnT versus RCRI+NT-proBNP were -0.06 per 1000 and -0.17 per 1000 for MACE.
  • For death at a 5% threshold, benefit equivalents were +0.06 per 1000 (hs-TnT) versus -0.08 per 1000 (NT-proBNP).
  • For death at a 10% threshold, benefit equivalents were -0.35 per 1000 (hs-TnT) versus -0.06 per 1000 (NT-proBNP).
  • These small and inconsistent differences across thresholds did not indicate a clear advantage for either biomarker.

No significant difference in predictive performance was found between hs-TnT and NT-proBNP, and a supporting literature review did not suggest differences between biomarkers.

  • Direct comparison of hs-TnT versus NT-proBNP showed no statistically significant difference in overall predictive performance.
  • A literature review was conducted as part of this secondary analysis and did not suggest differences between the two biomarkers.
  • The study addressed a gap noted by conflicting guideline recommendations: the European Society of Cardiology recommends hs-TnT, while American cardiology and European anesthesiology societies support NT-proBNP.
  • The analysis used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration slopes, Brier scores, and decision curve analysis to comprehensively assess prediction.

This was a secondary analysis pooling data from two prospective studies (METREPAIR and MINSS) of patients with elevated cardiovascular risk undergoing elective noncardiac surgery.

  • Total pooled sample size was 2251 patients.
  • Logistic regression models included RCRI and age as the base model, augmented by each biomarker.
  • The primary endpoint was 30-day MACE; secondary endpoint was 30-day death.
  • Prediction was assessed using AUC, calibration slopes, Brier scores, and decision curve analysis at predefined thresholds.

What This Means

This research examined whether two blood biomarkers — high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) and NT-proBNP — can help predict serious heart complications or death within 30 days of non-heart surgery in patients who already have elevated heart disease risk. The study pooled data from 2,251 patients across two existing studies conducted in Europe. Serious heart complications occurred in about 6% of patients and death in about 1.6%. Both biomarkers were associated with worse outcomes, but when added to a standard risk score (the Revised Cardiac Risk Index plus age), neither biomarker substantially improved the ability to predict who would have a complication or die. The only statistically significant improvement was seen when hs-TnT was added to the model for predicting death, but even this improvement was very small (an increase in AUC of only 0.006). Decision curve analyses, which assess how useful a test is for guiding clinical decisions at specific risk thresholds, showed no consistent, meaningful advantage of one biomarker over the other. A review of the existing scientific literature on this topic also did not suggest that one biomarker outperforms the other. This research suggests that while both hs-TnT and NT-proBNP carry prognostic information about surgical risk, neither one clearly outperforms the other, and their added value on top of standard clinical risk assessment tools is modest. This is practically relevant because major cardiology and anesthesiology guidelines currently recommend different biomarkers, and these findings suggest the choice between them may matter less than previously thought. Clinicians and guideline committees may consider these results when deciding which biomarker to adopt for preoperative cardiac risk assessment.

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Citation

Kirkopoulos A, Larmann J, Gillmann H, M'Pembele R, Bucur-Cristescu V, Tenge T, et al.. (2026). Comparison of High-Sensitivity Troponin T Versus N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide for Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery.. Journal of the American Heart Association. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.126.050032