Cardiovascular

Comparison of Optical Coherence Tomography Biomarkers in Nonproliferative and Proliferative Diabetic Retinopathy: Marmasia Study Group Report No. 2.

TL;DR

In treatment-naive diabetic macular oedema, no structural OCT biomarker was independently associated with proliferative disease after accounting for fellow-eye correlation, centre effects, mutual adjustment, and multiplicity, though posterior hyaloid detachment gave the most consistent nominal signal.

Key Findings

Eyes with PDR had significantly worse baseline visual acuity than eyes with NPDR in treatment-naive DMO.

  • Mean BCVA was 0.74±0.54 logMAR in PDR versus 0.57±0.42 logMAR in NPDR (p<0.001).
  • The study included 818 eyes of 534 patients from nine tertiary clinics; 646 eyes had NPDR and 172 had PDR.
  • Design was retrospective, cross-sectional and multicentre, using eye-level data with patient-clustered robust standard errors and study-centre fixed effects.

In univariable clustered comparisons, no OCT biomarker differed between NPDR and PDR after false discovery rate correction.

  • Ten comparisons were corrected for false discovery rate.
  • The lowest q-value was 0.095, for vitreoretinal interface abnormality (VRIA).
  • Biomarkers evaluated included CMT, DMO morphology, disorganisation of retinal inner layers, EZ integrity, VRIA, and posterior hyaloid status.

In the joint multivariable model, no structural biomarker was independently associated with PDR after Holm correction.

  • The model included 636 eyes in 431 clusters, with EZ integrity, posterior hyaloid status and VRIA mutually adjusted alongside clinical covariates.
  • Holm correction was applied across six structural-domain tests.
  • The global EZ term was not significant (p=0.221).

Posterior hyaloid detachment showed a nominal association with PDR that did not survive multiplicity correction.

  • Odds ratio 2.03 (95% CI 1.05-3.92).
  • Holm-adjusted p=0.208.
  • The authors describe it as the most consistent nominal signal.

VRIA was not independently associated with PDR after adjustment for posterior hyaloid status, suggesting the vitreoretinal interface variables carry overlapping information.

  • VRIA OR 1.36 (95% CI 0.67-2.75; p=0.388) after adjustment for posterior hyaloid status.
  • VRIA had the lowest univariable q-value (0.095) but lost its signal in the joint model.
  • Authors conclude the vitreoretinal interface variables carried overlapping rather than independent information.

Centre-adjusted central macular thickness did not differ between NPDR and PDR eyes.

  • Centre-adjusted CMT comparison gave p=0.890.
  • Analyses accounted for study-centre fixed effects.

In secondary analyses, PDR, disrupted EZ, higher CMT and VRIA were each associated with worse BCVA.

  • These were secondary analyses of visual acuity.
  • Authors state the findings do not establish prognosis, given the cross-sectional design.

What This Means

This study looked at eye scans (optical coherence tomography, or OCT) from 818 eyes of 534 people with diabetes who had swelling in the central retina (diabetic macular oedema) and had not yet been treated. Researchers compared eyes with earlier-stage disease (non-proliferative) to eyes with more advanced disease (proliferative) to see whether particular features on the scans differed between the two groups. Data came from nine hospitals in a retrospective review. Eyes with proliferative disease had worse vision on average than those with non-proliferative disease. However, once the analysis accounted for the fact that many patients contributed both eyes, differences between hospitals, the overlap between different scan features, and the number of comparisons made, none of the scan features (such as retinal thickness, integrity of the photoreceptor layer, or the state of the vitreous gel's attachment to the retina) was independently linked to proliferative disease. Detachment of the vitreous gel from the retina showed a possible link, but this was not strong enough to hold up after statistical correction. This research suggests that these common OCT features may not reliably distinguish proliferative from non-proliferative disease in untreated patients with macular swelling. Features of the retina–vitreous boundary appeared to overlap in the information they provided. Because the study captured a single point in time, the authors stress that the findings do not show how patients will fare over time.

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Citation

&#xd6;zsoy Sayg&#x131;n I, Kumral T&#xfc;rkseven E, Kaplan F, Sevik M, Aydo&#x11f;an Gezginaslan T, &#xd6;nder Toku&#xe7; E, et al.. (2026). Comparison of Optical Coherence Tomography Biomarkers in Nonproliferative and Proliferative Diabetic Retinopathy: Marmasia Study Group Report No. 2.. Turkish journal of ophthalmology. https://doi.org/10.4274/tjo.galenos.2026.24196