Cardiovascular

Comprehensive trends in Chronic Kidney Disease prevalence and comorbidities across eGFR and albuminuria categories: a 20-year analysis of NHANES data.

TL;DR

A 20-year analysis of NHANES data revealed a stable CKD prevalence of approximately 20% in US adults, with uneven distribution of comorbidities across KDIGO-defined eGFR and albuminuria subcategories, highlighting G3bA2 and G4A1 patients as being at heightened risk.

Key Findings

CKD prevalence remained stable at approximately 20% among US adults aged ≥20 years over the 20-year study period from 1999 to 2018.

  • Analysis used the NHANES dataset spanning 1999–2018
  • The CKD-EPI 2021 equation without the race component was employed to estimate eGFR
  • Prevalence was assessed among adults aged ≥20 years
  • The overall prevalence trend was described as 'stable' at approximately 20% throughout the study period

Obesity and diabetes showed significant increases among CKD patients over the 20-year study period.

  • Both obesity and diabetes demonstrated statistically significant upward trends over 1999–2018
  • These two comorbidities were distinguished from other comorbidities that remained stable or plateaued
  • The rising trends in obesity and diabetes were identified within the CKD population using NHANES data
  • These findings were noted across the study period using nine tracked comorbidities

Hypertension, anemia, hyperkalemia, and cardiovascular disease remained stable as comorbidities in CKD patients over the study period.

  • Four of the nine tracked comorbidities showed no significant upward or downward trend over 1999–2018
  • These stable comorbidities included hypertension, anemia, hyperkalemia, and cardiovascular disease
  • Stability was assessed across the full 20-year NHANES observation window
  • Nine total comorbidities were tracked in this analysis

Hypertriglyceridemia and hypercholesterolemia showed an initial rise followed by a plateau over the study period.

  • Both lipid-related comorbidities demonstrated a biphasic trend: an early increase followed by stabilization
  • This pattern distinguished them from comorbidities that were uniformly stable or uniformly increasing
  • The plateau phase suggests possible impact of increasing statin use or dietary changes in the population
  • Trends were assessed over the full 1999–2018 NHANES period

CKD comorbidities were unevenly distributed across KDIGO-defined eGFR and albuminuria subcategories, with G3bA2 and G4A1 patients identified as being at heightened risk.

  • The analysis used KDIGO-defined categories combining eGFR stages (G1–G5) and albuminuria categories (A1–A3)
  • G3bA2 patients (eGFR 30–44 mL/min/1.73m² with moderately increased albuminuria) and G4A1 patients (eGFR 15–29 mL/min/1.73m² with normal to mildly increased albuminuria) were specifically highlighted as heightened-risk groups
  • The distribution of comorbidities was described as 'uneven' across subcategories, indicating that risk is not uniformly distributed by eGFR or albuminuria alone
  • Findings underscore the importance of individualized care strategies that consider both CKD risk category and comorbidity profiles

CKD contributes to over 1.2 million global deaths annually and ranks as the 12th leading cause of mortality worldwide.

  • This epidemiological context was used to frame the public health significance of the study
  • CKD was characterized as 'a major public health challenge'
  • Global mortality burden cited as over 1.2 million deaths annually
  • Ranking of 12th leading cause of mortality was noted in the background framing of the study

What This Means

This research suggests that chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects about 1 in 5 American adults and has remained at that level for at least two decades (1999–2018). To arrive at this finding, researchers analyzed a large, nationally representative U.S. health survey (NHANES) and used an updated formula to estimate kidney function that does not factor in a patient's race. While the overall rate of CKD held steady, the health problems that tend to accompany it did not all follow the same pattern: obesity and diabetes grew significantly, lipid disorders like high cholesterol and high triglycerides rose and then leveled off, and conditions like high blood pressure, anemia, high potassium, and heart disease stayed roughly constant throughout the period. A particularly important finding is that the burden of these additional health problems is not spread evenly among all CKD patients. People in specific kidney disease severity categories — particularly those with moderately reduced kidney function and moderate protein in their urine (G3bA2), or those with severely reduced kidney function but little protein in their urine (G4A1) — appear to carry a disproportionately higher risk. This suggests that simply knowing someone has CKD is not enough; the specific combination of kidney function level and protein leakage into urine matters when assessing a patient's overall health risk. This research suggests that one-size-fits-all approaches to managing CKD may be insufficient. The findings point toward the value of tailored, individualized care strategies that account for where a patient falls within the kidney disease spectrum and which specific accompanying conditions they have. The data also provide a foundation for policymakers, clinicians, and researchers to better prioritize resources and design interventions for the groups at greatest risk.

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Citation

Farag Y, Zheng Z, Dar A, Tariq A. (2026). Comprehensive trends in Chronic Kidney Disease prevalence and comorbidities across eGFR and albuminuria categories: a 20-year analysis of NHANES data.. Renal failure. https://doi.org/10.1080/0886022X.2025.2536192