Cardiovascular

Divergent Burden Patterns of Major Arterial Cardiovascular Diseases Across US States.

TL;DR

Major arterial cardiovascular diseases impose distinct burden profiles in the United States: IHD dominates death and health loss, stroke contributes combined fatal and disabling burden, and PAD exhibits high incidence but lower direct-attributable death within GBD cause-specific estimates.

Key Findings

In 2021, IHD had the greatest mortality burden among the three major arterial cardiovascular diseases examined.

  • IHD age-standardized death rate was 78.9 per 100,000 (95% UI, 69.9–83.9)
  • Stroke age-standardized death rate was 30.3 per 100,000 (95% UI, 26.0–32.5)
  • PAD direct-attributable death rate was only 1.7 per 100,000 (95% UI, 1.5–1.9)
  • Data were derived from GBD 2021 estimates across US states from 1990 to 2021

PAD exhibited the highest incidence among the three diseases but the lowest direct-attributable mortality.

  • PAD age-standardized incidence rate was 211.8 per 100,000 (95% UI, 189.7–235.8)
  • PAD direct-attributable death rate was 1.7 per 100,000 (95% UI, 1.5–1.9)
  • This contrast highlights that high incidence does not correspond to high direct cause-specific mortality for PAD within GBD estimates

Stroke had the greatest nonfatal burden as measured by years lived with disability among the three diseases.

  • Stroke years lived with disability rate was 166.9 per 100,000 (95% UI, 121.0–211.9)
  • This finding indicates that stroke contributes both fatal and disabling burden, distinguishing it from the other two diseases
  • Burden metrics examined included prevalence, incidence, deaths, DALYs, years of life lost, and years lived with disability

Age-standardized death rates declined for all three diseases from 1990 to 2021, with IHD showing the most rapid decline.

  • IHD estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in age-standardized death rate was -3.01% (95% CI, -3.15% to -2.86%)
  • Declines were also observed for stroke and PAD, though less rapid than for IHD
  • Trends were characterized using age-standardized rates and estimated annual percentage changes across the full 1990–2021 study period

Age-standardized death rates for all three diseases correlated inversely with the Sociodemographic Index (SDI) across US states.

  • Stroke: ρ = -0.692, P ≤ 0.002
  • IHD: ρ = -0.661, P ≤ 0.002
  • PAD: ρ = -0.419, P ≤ 0.002
  • The inverse correlation indicates that states with higher sociodemographic development tended to have lower age-standardized death rates for all three conditions
  • PAD showed a weaker correlation with SDI compared to stroke and IHD

The three major arterial cardiovascular diseases show divergent burden profiles that prior analyses examining them in isolation have not fully captured.

  • IHD dominates in death and overall health loss metrics
  • Stroke contributes combined fatal and disabling burden
  • PAD is characterized by high incidence but lower direct-attributable death within GBD cause-specific estimates
  • The authors note that prior analyses largely examined these conditions in isolation, limiting comparative burden assessment across US states
  • State-level variation was characterized using spatial mapping in addition to age-standardized rates and EAPCs

What This Means

This research analyzed data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study to compare how three major artery-related heart and vascular conditions — ischemic heart disease (IHD, caused by blocked coronary arteries), stroke, and peripheral artery disease (PAD, blockages in limb arteries) — affect people across all US states from 1990 to 2021. Rather than looking at each disease separately as most prior studies have done, this study compared them side by side using multiple measures of disease burden including deaths, disability, and new cases. The findings show that these three diseases have very different patterns: IHD causes the most deaths, stroke causes the most long-term disability, and PAD is diagnosed most frequently but causes relatively few direct deaths. The study also found that death rates fell for all three diseases between 1990 and 2021, with IHD showing the steepest decline (about 3% per year). However, burden was not evenly distributed: states with lower socioeconomic development consistently had higher death rates from all three conditions, with this gap being most pronounced for stroke and IHD and somewhat smaller for PAD. This suggests that social and economic factors play an important role in who is most affected by these diseases. This research suggests that because these three arterial diseases affect people in meaningfully different ways — one killing more, one disabling more, one occurring more frequently — public health efforts and medical surveillance systems should be tailored to the specific profile of each disease rather than treating them as interchangeable. The geographic variation across states also points to opportunities for targeted prevention efforts in higher-burden regions.

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Citation

Jin Z. (2026). Divergent Burden Patterns of Major Arterial Cardiovascular Diseases Across US States.. Journal of the American Heart Association. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.125.048952