Cardiovascular

Early pharmacologic venous thromboembolism prophylaxis and in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a landmark, propensity-weighted cohort study.

TL;DR

In this landmark cohort of ICU patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, initiation of pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis within 48 hours was associated with lower in-hospital mortality without a statistically significant difference in coded VTE, though residual confounding by indication cannot be excluded and a causal interpretation is not warranted.

Key Findings

Early pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis (within 48 hours of ICU admission) was associated with lower in-hospital mortality in ICH patients after inverse probability of treatment weighting.

  • Adjusted odds ratio for in-hospital mortality was 0.72 (95% CI 0.55–0.94)
  • Cause-specific hazard ratio was 0.65 (95% CI 0.50–0.86, p = 0.003)
  • Weighted risk difference was -4.0%
  • In-hospital death occurred in 10.8% of the early prophylaxis group vs. 17.4% of the no early prophylaxis group

Early pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis was not associated with a statistically significant difference in coded VTE events.

  • Adjusted OR for coded VTE was 1.20 (95% CI 0.85–1.69; p = 0.31)
  • This secondary outcome was binary and based on coded (administrative/clinical) VTE diagnoses
  • The confidence interval crossed 1.0, indicating no statistically significant increase in VTE risk with early prophylaxis

The association between early prophylaxis and lower in-hospital mortality was directionally consistent across most sensitivity analyses.

  • A time-varying exposure model (designed to reduce immortal-time bias) yielded HR 0.61 (95% CI 0.49–0.76)
  • A competing-risk cumulative-incidence analysis was also directionally consistent with the primary result
  • The 24-hour landmark estimate was not statistically significant, indicating some variability by landmark choice
  • Results were described as 'directionally consistent across most sensitivity analyses'

After applying the 48-hour landmark design and exclusion criteria, 2,380 patients formed the analytic cohort from an initial pool of 2,754 ICH ICU patients.

  • 2,754 ICH ICU patients were identified in MIMIC-IV v3.1 (2008–2019)
  • 2,407 patients were alive and in hospital at the 48-hour landmark
  • 27 patients were excluded for receiving therapeutic anticoagulation within 48 hours, leaving 2,380 in the analytic cohort
  • Early prophylaxis group: n = 655; no early prophylaxis group: n = 1,725
  • The no early prophylaxis group comprised both later (delayed) initiators and never-treated patients

Inverse probability of treatment weighting successfully balanced all 17 baseline covariates between the early and no-early-prophylaxis groups.

  • All 17 of 17 covariates achieved a standardized mean difference of less than 0.1 after IPTW
  • Covariates included the baseline Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)
  • Missing GCS values were handled using multiple imputation
  • A total of 17 baseline covariates were adjusted for in the propensity model

The study used a landmark design with a fixed 48-hour time point to classify exposure and define eligibility, specifically to address immortal-time bias.

  • Time zero and eligibility were defined as ICU admission plus 48 hours
  • Only patients alive and in hospital at 48 hours were included, ensuring all patients had equal opportunity for early prophylaxis exposure
  • Exposure was fixed at the landmark: early prophylaxis defined as pharmacologic prophylaxis started ≤48 hours; no early prophylaxis defined as not started by 48 hours
  • A supplementary time-varying exposure analysis was also conducted specifically to further reduce immortal-time bias

Residual confounding by indication due to unavailable neuroimaging severity measures is a key limitation, and a causal interpretation of the mortality association is not warranted.

  • Key neuroimaging severity measures were unavailable, including hematoma volume, location, intraventricular extension, and hematoma expansion
  • These unmeasured variables are likely related to both the decision to initiate prophylaxis and to mortality, representing confounding by indication
  • The authors explicitly state that 'a causal interpretation is not warranted'
  • Randomized trials are needed to establish causality

What This Means

This research suggests that in patients admitted to the ICU with bleeding in the brain (intracerebral hemorrhage, or ICH), starting blood clot prevention medication (pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis) within 48 hours of admission may be linked to lower odds of dying in the hospital. The study used a large U.S. critical care database (MIMIC-IV) and looked at over 2,300 ICH patients who survived at least 48 hours in the ICU. After using statistical methods to make the two groups (early vs. not-early prophylaxis) more comparable, those who received early prophylaxis had an in-hospital death rate of about 10.8%, compared to 17.4% in those who did not receive early prophylaxis. Importantly, early prophylaxis was not associated with a significantly higher rate of blood clot events (VTE), which is often the concern that delays such treatment in brain bleed patients. However, this research has an important limitation: the study could not account for the severity of the brain bleed itself because information like the size and location of the hemorrhage was not available in the database. This means that doctors may have chosen to give early prophylaxis to patients with less severe bleeds, which could partly explain the better outcomes in that group—a problem known as 'confounding by indication.' The authors are careful to note that this association does not prove that early prophylaxis causes lower mortality. This research suggests that early pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis in ICH ICU patients may be safer than previously assumed, and that the timing of such treatment deserves more rigorous investigation. The findings support the need for randomized controlled trials—where patients are randomly assigned to early or delayed treatment—to determine whether this association is truly causal and to guide clinical practice for this high-risk patient population.

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Citation

Chen H, Ji J, Zhang H, Nie E, Lan Q. (2026). Early pharmacologic venous thromboembolism prophylaxis and in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a landmark, propensity-weighted cohort study.. Frontiers in neurology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2026.1849021