Recording peak velocity during warm-up sets prior to competition may serve as a complementary variable to support and refine opener selection in weightlifting competitions, but coaches should use this approach with caution as it may not provide accurate snatch performance predictions for all athletes.
Key Findings
Results
Between-sessions reliability was acceptable for actual 1RM, peak velocity at single loads, actual MVT, and optimal MVT in the snatch.
Fourteen competitive adolescent male weightlifters participated (age: 15.9 ± 0.9 years; training experience: 5.1 ± 0.9 years).
Intraclass correlation coefficients ranged from 0.76 to 0.90 across measures.
Coefficient of variation ranged from 1.82% to 3.31% across measures.
Measures assessed included actual 1RM, PV at 50%, 70%, 80%, and 90% of 1RM, actual MVT, and optimal MVT.
Results
The actual MVT, optimal MVT, and individual %1RM-PV relationship using 80% and 90% 1RM yielded acceptable and lower absolute errors compared to methods using 50% and 70% 1RM.
Absolute errors for actual MVT, optimal MVT, and individual %1RM-PV at 80% and 90% 1RM ranged from 2.6 to 4.1 kg.
Absolute errors for individual %1RM-PV relationship using 50% and 70% 1RM were notably higher, ranging from 6.2 to 9.9 kg.
All methods that showed lower absolute errors also exhibited proportional bias (p = 0.002–0.018).
Heteroscedasticity was observed for the actual MVT and 90% 1RM methods (p = 0.022–0.026).
Results
The load-peak velocity relationship combined with minimal velocity threshold methods provided better 1RM predictions than single-load methods at lighter intensities.
1RM in the second session was predicted using the load-PV relationship derived from four loads (50%, 70%, 80%, 90% 1RM) combined with either actual or optimal MVT obtained in the first session.
The actual and optimal MVT methods produced absolute errors of 2.6–4.1 kg.
Single-load methods at 50% and 70% 1RM produced substantially larger errors of 6.2–9.9 kg.
Peak velocity was recorded using a linear position transducer.
Results
Proportional bias was present in all methods that demonstrated acceptable prediction accuracy, indicating that prediction error varies systematically with the magnitude of the actual 1RM.
Proportional bias was observed for actual MVT, optimal MVT, and individual %1RM-PV methods at 80% and 90% 1RM (p = 0.002–0.018).
Heteroscedasticity was specifically observed for the actual MVT and 90% 1RM methods (p = 0.022–0.026).
The presence of proportional bias and heteroscedasticity means these methods may not provide accurate predictions for all athletes.
These findings suggest coaches should use velocity-based prediction with caution in individual athlete contexts.
Methods
The study protocol involved incremental loading tests across two sessions with attempts at standardized percentages of recent best snatch performance.
Participants performed attempts at 50%, 70%, 80%, and 90% of their best snatch record from the past 30 days, followed by load increases until reaching actual 1RM.
Two testing sessions were completed to assess between-session reliability.
The second session 1RM was predicted using data from the first session.
Both load-velocity relationship methods and single-load methods were evaluated.
Conclusions
Velocity-based methods using warm-up set data may serve as a complementary tool for opener selection in competitive weightlifting but cannot replace traditional coaching judgment.
The authors concluded that recording PV during warm-up sets prior to competition may serve as a 'complementary variable to support and refine opener selection.'
The approach was not recommended as a standalone prediction tool due to proportional bias and heteroscedasticity.
The study population was competitive adolescent male weightlifters, which may limit generalizability.
The authors specifically noted the approach 'may not provide accurate snatch performance predictions for all athletes.'
Mao Y, Chen Z, Marcos-Frutos D, Li Z, Huang S, Mao Y, et al.. (2026). Evaluating Velocity-Based Approaches for Predicting One-Repetition Maximum in The Snatch.. Journal of sports science & medicine. https://doi.org/10.52082/jssm.2026.130