This study identifies significant genetic factors associated with LTC burden and their association with lifespan, finding that individuals in the highest 10% polygenic risk score for LTC burden had, on average, a 0.9-year shorter lifespan and 0.73 more long-term conditions than those in the lowest 10%.
Key Findings
Results
A GWAS of LTC burden identified 21 significant independent loci, with loci in the HLA region being the most significant.
The GWAS was conducted on 343,868 UK Biobank individuals.
21 significant independent loci were identified across the genome.
Loci in the HLA (Human Leukocyte Antigen) region were the most significant among all identified loci.
Results
LTC burden has a statistically significant SNP heritability of approximately 9.6%.
The estimated SNP heritability of LTC burden was 0.0963.
Standard error was 0.0034.
The heritability estimate was significantly different from zero (p-value = 1.77 x 10-176).
Results
LTC burden and parental lifespan exhibited a significant and strong negative global genetic correlation.
The global genetic correlation between LTC burden and parental lifespan was -0.7869 (se = 0.0419).
This correlation was statistically significant (p-value = 9.57 x 10-79).
The negative correlation indicates that genetic factors increasing LTC burden are associated with shorter parental lifespan.
Results
Forty-four loci showed significant local genetic correlations between LTC burden and parental lifespan.
44 loci showed significant local genetic correlations at a threshold of p-value < 2.23 x 10-5.
Local genetic correlations provide finer-grained regional insights beyond the global genetic correlation estimate.
Results
Individuals in the highest 10% of polygenic risk score for LTC burden had shorter lifespans and more long-term conditions than those in the lowest 10%.
The polygenic risk score (PRSLTC) was derived from a separate set of 34,339 UK Biobank individuals with records of age at death, who were not included in the GWAS analysis.
Individuals in the highest 10% PRSLTC had, on average, a 0.9-year shorter lifespan than those in the lowest 10%.
Individuals in the highest 10% PRSLTC had, on average, 0.73 more LTCs than those in the lowest 10%.
Bhak Y, Guthrie B, Tenesa A. (2026). Genetic insights into number of long-term conditions and their relationship with lifespan.. PloS one. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0340181