In this cross-sectional, observational analysis, physical activity was inversely associated with sarcopenia risk across diverse subpopulations of adults with diabetes, with exploratory causal forest analyses suggesting potentially more pronounced inverse associations among older adults, females, and individuals with obesity.
Key Findings
Results
Sarcopenia prevalence among diabetic adults in this sample was 18.46%, with notably higher rates among individuals with obesity, those of Mexican American ethnicity, and those with lower educational attainment.
Total sample size was 1,230 participants with diabetes.
Sarcopenia prevalence was 18.46% overall.
Subgroups with higher sarcopenia rates included individuals with obesity, Mexican American ethnicity, and lower educational attainment.
The study used a cross-sectional design.
Results
Occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity demonstrated an independent inverse association with sarcopenia risk after full covariate adjustment.
β = -0.020 (95% CI: -0.034 to -0.006, p = 0.007) for occupational moderate-to-vigorous physical activity.
β denotes multivariable linear regression coefficients for the continuous skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) outcome.
Negative values indicate lower skeletal muscle mass index and higher sarcopenia risk.
This association was observed following full covariate adjustment using progressive multivariable linear regression.
Results
Leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity also demonstrated an independent inverse association with sarcopenia risk after full covariate adjustment.
β = -0.018 (95% CI: -0.032 to -0.003, p = 0.018) for leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity.
This association was independent of occupational physical activity and other covariates.
Both occupational and leisure-time domains were analyzed separately and found to be independently associated with sarcopenia risk.
Results
Dose-response analyses using restricted cubic splines identified activity thresholds beyond which progressively more favorable associations with sarcopenia risk were apparent.
Restricted cubic spline analyses were used to characterize dose-response relationships between physical activity and sarcopenia risk.
Activity thresholds were identified beyond which associations with lower sarcopenia risk became more pronounced.
The analyses examined both continuous skeletal muscle mass index scores and binary sarcopenia status as outcomes.
Results
Causal forest estimation indicated that total physical activity exhibited the most pronounced inverse association with sarcopenia risk among domain-specific activity measures.
Mean conditional average association effect (CAAE) for total physical activity was -0.0547.
Results were reported as conditional average association effects rather than treatment effects, given the observational design.
The causal forest algorithm was used to estimate individual-level heterogeneity in association magnitude.
Total physical activity showed a stronger association than either occupational or leisure-time physical activity alone.
Results
Exploratory subgroup analyses suggested potential heterogeneity in association magnitude, with directionally consistent point estimates indicating more pronounced inverse associations in certain subgroups.
Point estimates were directionally consistent with more pronounced inverse associations among adults aged ≥51 years, females, and individuals with obesity.
Stratified subgroup analyses used interaction terms to assess consistency across age, sex, body mass index, and race/ethnicity.
The authors described these patterns as 'preliminary' and 'hypothesis-generating' given the cross-sectional design.
The authors noted these patterns 'would benefit from prospective verification before more definitive conclusions are drawn.'
Conclusions
The cross-sectional design of the study precludes any inference about temporality or causality between physical activity and sarcopenia risk.
The authors explicitly state the design 'precludes any inference about temporality or causality.'
The causal forest findings were reported as 'conditional average association effects rather than treatment effects.'
The authors called for 'future longitudinal studies and randomized controlled trials' to verify findings.
Subgroup patterns were characterized as 'hypothesis-generating.'
What This Means
This research suggests that physical activity is associated with lower risk of sarcopenia (muscle loss) in adults with diabetes. Among 1,230 diabetic adults studied, about 1 in 5 had sarcopenia, with higher rates seen in people with obesity, Mexican Americans, and those with less education. Both exercise done during work (occupational activity) and exercise done during free time (leisure-time activity) were each independently linked to lower sarcopenia risk, and total physical activity showed the strongest association overall. The researchers also found that higher levels of physical activity were associated with progressively better outcomes, suggesting a potential dose-response relationship.
Using an advanced statistical method called causal forest analysis, the researchers explored whether certain groups of people showed stronger associations between physical activity and sarcopenia risk. The results suggested that older adults (aged 51 and above), women, and people with obesity may experience more pronounced benefits from physical activity in terms of sarcopenia risk, though the authors emphasized these are preliminary, exploratory findings that need further investigation.
This research suggests that staying physically active — both at work and during leisure time — may be particularly important for people with diabetes, who are already at elevated risk for muscle loss. However, because this was a cross-sectional study (a snapshot in time rather than following people over time), it cannot prove that physical activity directly causes lower sarcopenia risk. Future long-term studies and clinical trials are needed to confirm these findings and determine what types and amounts of activity are most beneficial for different groups of diabetic adults.
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Song D, Yi T, Hu Y, Wang Y, Zhou D, Yuan Y, et al.. (2026). Heterogeneous associations between domain-specific physical activity and sarcopenia risk in diabetic adults: A causal forest analysis.. The Journal of international medical research. https://doi.org/10.1177/03000605261483168