Cardiovascular

Incidence Trends and Disease Burden of Vascular Intestinal Disorders: A Population-Based Study in China and Worldwide from 1990 to 2021.

TL;DR

Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute burden of vascular intestinal disorders escalates globally and in China, with disparities disproportionately affecting elderly women and younger males.

Key Findings

Global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of vascular intestinal disorders declined from 1990 to 2021.

  • Global ASIR fell from 18.81 to 15.98 per 100,000 population between 1990 and 2021.
  • The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was -0.52%.
  • Data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 dataset.
  • Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends and compute AAPCs with 95% confidence intervals.

China's age-standardized incidence rate of vascular intestinal disorders also declined over the study period.

  • China's ASIR fell from 5.92 to 5.03 per 100,000 between 1990 and 2021.
  • The AAPC for China was -0.50%, similar to the global trend.
  • Despite declining age-standardized rates, China's absolute number of cases nearly doubled due to demographic shifts.
  • Demographic shifts, rather than increasing disease risk, appear to be driving the rise in absolute case counts.

Significant gender disparities were observed in vascular intestinal disorder incidence and mortality.

  • Younger males showed higher age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR).
  • Women aged 75 years and older had elevated morbidity and mortality compared to their male counterparts in that age group.
  • The pattern suggests that sex-based risk profiles for VID shift across the life course.

Age disparities were a prominent feature of the vascular intestinal disorder burden.

  • Subgroup analyses covered age, sex, and socio-demographic index.
  • Younger males demonstrated disproportionately higher ASIR and ASMR.
  • Women aged ≥75 years experienced elevated morbidity and mortality, indicating a convergence or reversal of sex-based risk in older age groups.

Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute burden of vascular intestinal disorders increased both globally and in China.

  • Age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were all extracted and analyzed.
  • The absolute number of VID cases in China nearly doubled over the study period.
  • The authors attribute this increase to demographic shifts rather than increases in age-standardized risk.
  • The divergence between declining age-standardized rates and increasing absolute burden highlights the impact of population aging and growth.

Socio-demographic index was included as a subgroup variable in the analysis of vascular intestinal disorder burden.

  • Subgroup analyses covered age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI).
  • The study used GBD 2021 data, which includes SDI as a composite measure of development.
  • Specific SDI-stratified results were not detailed in the abstract but were part of the analytical framework.

What This Means

This research suggests that vascular intestinal disorders (VIDs)—conditions where insufficient blood flow to the intestines causes tissue damage, ischemia, or inflammation—have become less common on a per-person basis both globally and in China over the past three decades. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, researchers found that the age-standardized incidence rate dropped from about 18.81 to 15.98 per 100,000 people worldwide, and from 5.92 to 5.03 per 100,000 in China, between 1990 and 2021. However, because populations are aging and growing, the total number of people affected has actually increased substantially—with China's absolute case count nearly doubling over the same period. The study also found notable differences by age and sex. Younger men were more likely to develop VID and more likely to die from it compared to younger women, while older women (aged 75 and above) bore a disproportionately high share of illness and death. This suggests that the risk profile for these conditions changes over the course of a lifetime and differs meaningfully between men and women, which has implications for how screening and prevention efforts should be targeted. This research matters because it highlights a gap between improving population-level rates and a worsening overall burden driven by demographic change. Even as medical advances and public health measures have reduced the per-person risk of VID, the sheer growth and aging of populations means that more people than ever are living with or dying from these conditions. The authors emphasize the need for better diagnostics, equitable healthcare access, and targeted prevention strategies—particularly for elderly women and younger men—as part of broader efforts to address non-communicable diseases.

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Citation

Zeng L, Li B, Gao J, He S, Huang L. (2026). Incidence Trends and Disease Burden of Vascular Intestinal Disorders: A Population-Based Study in China and Worldwide from 1990 to 2021.. Vascular health and risk management. https://doi.org/10.2147/VHRM.S609512