Cardiovascular

Joint assessment of triglyceride-glucose index and non-traditional lipid parameters for incident stroke risk in middle-aged and older chinese adults: A prospective cohort study based on CHARLS.

TL;DR

Composite indices combining the TyG index with non-traditional lipid parameters were consistently associated with incident stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults, with TyG-LCI showing the strongest association (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.37-2.47), suggesting these measures may serve as adjuncts for primary stroke risk assessment.

Key Findings

During a median 7-year follow-up of 7,578 stroke-free participants, 481 incident strokes occurred.

  • Study population: 7,578 stroke-free participants aged ≥45 years from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011-2018
  • Median follow-up duration was 7 years
  • 481 incident strokes were recorded during follow-up
  • Participants were middle-aged and older Chinese adults

TyG-LCI showed the strongest association with incident stroke risk among all composite indices after full adjustment.

  • Hazard ratio for TyG-LCI was 1.84 (95% CI: 1.37-2.47) comparing higher quartiles to the reference
  • All seven composite indices (TyG index multiplied by each non-traditional lipid parameter) were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models
  • Higher quartiles of most composite indices were associated with increased stroke risk after full adjustment
  • Seven composite indices were calculated as the product of the TyG index and each non-traditional lipid parameter

Restricted cubic spline analyses revealed non-linear exposure-response relationships between composite indices and incident stroke risk.

  • Non-linear relationships were identified for the associations of composite indices with stroke
  • Restricted cubic splines were employed to model the dose-response relationship
  • This non-linearity suggests that stroke risk does not increase at a constant rate across the range of composite index values

Composite indices yielded higher AUC values than conventional lipid parameters for predicting incident stroke.

  • ROC curve analyses were used to compare discriminative ability between composite indices and conventional lipid parameters
  • TyG-AIP, TyG-CRI-I, and TyG-LCI significantly improved risk reclassification and discrimination
  • Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess incremental predictive value
  • Results indicate composite indices provide incremental predictive value beyond individual parameters

The TyG index partially mediated the associations of four non-traditional lipid parameters (CRI-II, AC, Non-HDL-C, and CRI-I) with incident stroke.

  • Mediation proportions were: CRI-II: 41.7%, AC: 62.4%, Non-HDL-C: 63.5%, and CRI-I: 62.4%
  • The TyG index acted as a partial mediator, not a complete mediator, in these associations
  • Mediation analyses were employed to assess the mediating role of the TyG index
  • The relatively high mediation proportions for AC, Non-HDL-C, and CRI-I (>60%) suggest the TyG index captures a substantial portion of their effect on stroke risk

Seven non-traditional lipid parameters were combined with the TyG index to create composite indices for stroke risk assessment, all derivable from routine glucose and lipid tests.

  • The seven non-traditional lipid parameters included: AIP (atherogenic index of plasma), CRI-I, CRI-II, LCI (lipid combination index), AC (atherogenic coefficient), Non-HDL-C, and related measures
  • Composite indices were calculated as the product of the TyG index and each non-traditional lipid parameter
  • These measures are described as reflecting 'the combined burden of insulin resistance and atherogenic dyslipidemia'
  • Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic splines, ROC curves, NRI, IDI, and mediation analyses were all employed in the analytical framework

What This Means

This research suggests that combining a measure called the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index — which reflects how well the body handles insulin — with other non-standard cholesterol-related measurements creates composite scores that can better predict stroke risk than traditional lipid tests alone. The study followed nearly 7,600 Chinese adults aged 45 and older for about 7 years, during which 481 strokes occurred. Among the combinations tested, the TyG-LCI (TyG index multiplied by the lipid combination index) was the strongest predictor, with people in the highest quarter of scores having an 84% higher stroke risk compared to those in the lowest quarter. The study also found that the TyG index itself plays an important role in explaining why some other lipid measurements are linked to stroke. For example, more than 60% of the relationship between non-HDL cholesterol and stroke risk appeared to operate through the TyG index pathway, suggesting insulin resistance is a key driver connecting lipid abnormalities to stroke. Three specific composite scores — TyG-AIP, TyG-CRI-I, and TyG-LCI — not only outperformed conventional lipid measurements in discriminating who would or would not have a stroke, but also meaningfully improved the ability to correctly reclassify individuals into higher or lower risk categories. This research suggests that these composite scores, all calculable from routine blood glucose and lipid panel tests already commonly ordered in clinical practice, could serve as useful additional tools for identifying middle-aged and older adults at higher risk of stroke. Because these measures capture both insulin resistance and abnormal fat metabolism simultaneously, they may provide a more complete picture of cardiovascular risk than any single marker alone. This is particularly relevant for populations with high rates of metabolic disorders and where stroke remains a leading cause of death and disability.

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Citation

Xiao D, Zhou L, Xiao Y, Yu C, Chen W, Fan J, et al.. (2026). Joint assessment of triglyceride-glucose index and non-traditional lipid parameters for incident stroke risk in middle-aged and older chinese adults: A prospective cohort study based on CHARLS.. Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2026.108740