Exercise & Training

Joint trajectories of health behaviors and their associations with healthcare utilization and expenditure.

TL;DR

Sex- and age-specific behavioral trajectories were differentially associated with healthcare utilization and expenditure, underscoring the importance of multidimensional behavioral patterns in developing preventive strategies to reduce healthcare burdens.

Key Findings

Six distinct joint health behavior trajectories were identified in both men and women among middle-aged and older Korean adults.

  • Trajectories were identified using group-based multi-trajectory modeling of four simultaneous behaviors: smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and BMI.
  • The study analyzed 167,343 Korean adults aged 40-79 years from 2002 to 2019.
  • Data came from the National Health Insurance Service Health Screening Cohort.
  • Trajectories were identified separately for each sex, yielding six distinct patterns in men and six in women.

Among men, the higher moderate-risk trajectory was associated with fewer outpatient visits but longer hospital stays.

  • This finding suggests a specific pattern where men in the higher moderate-risk group avoid routine outpatient care but incur more intensive inpatient care.
  • Associations with healthcare outcomes were assessed using generalized estimating equations stratified by sex and age group.
  • This pattern highlights a potential underutilization of preventive outpatient services among men in this trajectory.

Among women, the higher severe-risk trajectory was associated with increased healthcare expenditures and higher overall healthcare utilization.

  • Women in the higher severe-risk trajectory showed increases in both expenditures and utilization measures.
  • Associations were assessed using generalized estimating equations stratified by sex.
  • This finding contrasts with the male pattern, where the moderate-risk rather than severe-risk group showed distinctive utilization patterns.

Age-stratified analyses revealed that severe-risk trajectories had stronger associations with healthcare outcomes in men under 65 years, while lower severe-risk trajectories showed stronger associations in men aged 65 years and older.

  • The study stratified analyses by both sex and age group, with 65 years as the cutoff.
  • Among men aged <65 years, severe-risk behavioral trajectories were more strongly associated with healthcare outcomes.
  • Among men aged ≥65 years, lower severe-risk trajectories showed stronger associations with healthcare utilization and expenditure.
  • This age-differential finding suggests that the healthcare impact of behavioral risk may shift as men age.

The study employed group-based multi-trajectory modeling to jointly capture patterns of four health behaviors over time in a large longitudinal cohort.

  • Four behaviors were modeled simultaneously: smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and BMI.
  • The cohort spanned 17 years of follow-up from 2002 to 2019.
  • The sample included 167,343 Korean adults aged 40-79 years.
  • Generalized estimating equations were used to assess longitudinal associations with healthcare utilization and expenditure outcomes.

Sex- and age-specific behavioral trajectories were differentially associated with healthcare utilization and expenditure, indicating that health behavior patterns do not uniformly predict healthcare outcomes across demographic groups.

  • Analyses were stratified by both sex and age group to capture differential associations.
  • The directionality and magnitude of associations varied by sex: men showed distinctive patterns in moderate-risk trajectories while women showed them in severe-risk trajectories.
  • Age further modified these associations, particularly among men.
  • The authors conclude this underscores 'the importance of multidimensional behavioral patterns in developing preventive strategies to reduce healthcare burdens.'

What This Means

This research suggests that when it comes to health behaviors like smoking, drinking, physical activity, and body weight, people tend to follow distinct long-term patterns, and these patterns predict how much healthcare they will use and how much they will spend — but in ways that differ between men, women, and different age groups. The researchers followed over 167,000 Korean adults for 17 years and identified six different behavioral 'trajectories' in both men and women, then tracked how those trajectories related to doctor visits, hospital stays, and medical costs. The study found that men and women in risky behavioral groups did not follow the same healthcare patterns. Men in a moderately risky behavioral group actually visited doctors less often but had longer hospital stays when they were admitted, suggesting they may be avoiding routine care until problems become serious. Women in the highest-risk behavioral group, on the other hand, had both higher healthcare use and higher spending overall. Among men, the age of 65 appeared to be an important dividing line — younger men in severe-risk trajectories showed the strongest healthcare impact, while older men were more affected even at lower risk levels. This research suggests that one-size-fits-all public health messaging about lifestyle behaviors may miss important differences between groups. Programs aimed at reducing unnecessary healthcare costs might be more effective if they are tailored to the specific behavioral patterns, sex, and age of the populations they target — for example, encouraging men in moderate-risk groups to seek more routine preventive care, or focusing intensive outreach on high-risk women who are accumulating significant healthcare costs.

Check Your Own Numbers

Upload your bloodwork. We'll cross-reference your results against this study and 4,700 others.

Upload Your Labs

Have a question about this study?

Citation

Yang J, Kim J, Jang T, Hwang J. (2026). Joint trajectories of health behaviors and their associations with healthcare utilization and expenditure.. International journal of public health. https://doi.org/10.3389/ijph.2026.1609686