Cardiovascular

J‑shaped link of stress hyperglycaemia ratio with in-hospital and 1-year mortality in hypertension patients: based on the MIMIC-IV database.

TL;DR

Stress hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) showed a J-shaped connection with in-hospital and 1-year deaths in hypertension patients admitted to ICUs, suggesting SHR can predict mortality in individuals with critical hypertension.

Key Findings

SHR as a continuous variable was independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality in hypertensive ICU patients.

  • Each one-unit increase in SHR was associated with an elevation in in-hospital death (HR, 1.93 [95% CI: 1.50–2.47]).
  • Analysis was performed using Cox regression in a cohort of 2,088 hypertension patients from the MIMIC-IV database.
  • In-hospital mortality rate in the study population was 8.67%.

SHR as a continuous variable was independently associated with increased 1-year mortality in hypertensive ICU patients.

  • Each one-unit increase in SHR was associated with an elevation in 1-year death (HR, 1.66 [95% CI: 1.37–2.01]).
  • 1-year mortality rate in the study population was 19.92%.
  • Analysis used Cox regression on 2,088 enrolled patients.

Patients in the highest SHR quartile (Q4) had substantially elevated in-hospital and 1-year mortality compared to lower quartiles.

  • The Q4 group exhibited enhanced in-hospital death risk (HR, 3.29 [95% CI: 1.89–5.74]).
  • The Q4 group exhibited enhanced 1-year death risk (HR, 1.74 [95% CI: 1.29–2.35]).
  • SHR was categorised into four quartile groups for categorical analysis.

The relationship between SHR and both in-hospital and 1-year mortality followed a J-shaped non-linear pattern.

  • The J-shaped connection was identified using the restricted cubic spline (RCS) method.
  • The J-shape indicates risk of death increased sharply once SHR exceeded a certain threshold, rather than increasing linearly.
  • This non-linear pattern was observed for both in-hospital and 1-year mortality outcomes.

The study enrolled 2,088 hypertensive ICU patients from the MIMIC-IV database with defined mortality outcomes.

  • Patients were admitted to ICUs and had a diagnosis of hypertension.
  • Outcomes assessed encompassed in-hospital and 1-year death.
  • SHR combines admission blood glucose with HbA1c to measure acute stress-related blood sugar elevation above a patient's usual baseline.
  • Cox regression analysis was used to assess the connection between SHR and mortality.

What This Means

This research examined whether the stress hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) — a measure that compares a person's blood sugar at hospital admission to their usual long-term blood sugar level (estimated from HbA1c) — could predict the risk of death in patients with high blood pressure who were admitted to intensive care units. Using data from over 2,000 such patients in the MIMIC-IV database, the researchers found that higher SHR values were linked to significantly greater chances of dying both during the hospital stay and within one year of admission. Patients in the highest quarter of SHR values were more than three times as likely to die in the hospital compared to those in lower SHR groups. A particularly important finding was that the relationship between SHR and mortality was not a simple straight line. Instead, it followed a J-shaped pattern, meaning that mortality risk remained relatively stable at lower SHR levels but rose sharply once SHR passed a certain point. This suggests there may be a critical threshold beyond which stress-related blood sugar elevation becomes especially dangerous for critically ill hypertensive patients. This research suggests that SHR — which can be calculated from routine blood tests already taken at admission — could be a practical and cost-free tool to help identify hypertensive ICU patients who are at the highest risk of dying. Because it accounts for a patient's usual blood sugar baseline rather than just a single high reading, it may provide more meaningful information than blood glucose alone, potentially supporting earlier or more targeted treatment decisions for these high-risk individuals.

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Citation

Zhao D, Wang F, Ding Y, Gu X. (2026). J‑shaped link of stress hyperglycaemia ratio with in-hospital and 1-year mortality in hypertension patients: based on the MIMIC-IV database.. Blood pressure. https://doi.org/10.1080/08037051.2026.2709810