Mapping the Four Adiposity Axes-Inflammatory Cytokine-Venous Thromboembolism Risk Landscape: A Two-Step Mediation Mendelian Randomization Analysis.
Li R, Luo H, Tian Y, Wang T • Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis • 2026
Inflammation partly mediates general-obesity axis effects on VTE and its subtypes, while lower-body fat axis confers VTE/DVT risk chiefly via local venous hemodynamic pathways.
Key Findings
Results
Genetically proxied general-obesity axis increased risks of VTE, DVT, and PE.
VTE risk: OR 1.431 (95% CI 1.152-1.778), PFDR < 0.05
DVT risk: OR 1.646 (95% CI 1.124-2.410), PFDR < 0.05
PE risk: OR 1.273 (95% CI 1.150-1.410), PFDR < 0.05
Primary analysis used inverse-variance weighting with false discovery rate (FDR) control
Robustness evaluated using eight complementary MR estimators alongside tests for horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneity
Results
The lower-body fat axis raised risk of VTE and DVT.
VTE risk: OR 1.246 (95% CI 1.141-1.361), P = 1.20 × 10-5, PFDR < 0.05
DVT risk: OR 1.216 (95% CI 1.039-1.424), P = 0.036, PFDR < 0.05
The lower-body fat axis effect on VTE/DVT was attributed chiefly to local venous hemodynamic pathways rather than inflammation
Results
CTACK/CCL27 mediated a portion of the general-obesity axis effect on PE.
CTACK/CCL27 accounted for 8.30% (95% CI 0.07-16.54%) of the general-obesity → PE pathway
This was identified using two-step mediation Mendelian randomization
The mediation proportion indicates partial inflammatory mediation of obesity-related PE risk
Results
Beta-nerve growth factor (Beta-NGF) and monocyte chemoattractant protein-3 (MCP-3) mediated portions of the general-obesity axis effect on VTE.
Beta-NGF explained 6.77% (95% CI 1.25-12.30%) of the general-obesity → VTE pathway
MCP-3 explained 6.44% (95% CI 0.08-12.80%) of the general-obesity → VTE pathway
Both mediators are inflammatory cytokines identified via two-step mediation MR
Results
In the lower-body fat to VTE pathway, PDGF-BB and MIG acted as mild masking mediators without altering the direct effect.
Platelet-derived growth factor BB (PDGF-BB) and monokine induced by gamma interferon (MIG) masked 5.79-7.89% of the lower-body-fat → VTE association
Despite masking, these cytokines did not alter the direct effect of the lower-body fat axis on VTE
This suggests the lower-body fat axis operates primarily through non-inflammatory (hemodynamic) mechanisms
Methods
The study used four MRI-defined adiposity axes to distinguish different fat distribution patterns in relation to VTE.
The four axes were: general-obesity, lower-body fat, muscle-dominant, and peripheral fat axes
Instruments were independent genome-wide significant variants selected from GWAS data for each axis
Outcomes (VTE, DVT, PE) were obtained from FinnGen-R12 with non-overlapping samples ensured
The approach was designed to overcome limitations of standard metrics (BMI, waist-hip ratio) which conflate fat distribution with muscle
Li R, Luo H, Tian Y, Wang T. (2026). Mapping the Four Adiposity Axes-Inflammatory Cytokine-Venous Thromboembolism Risk Landscape: A Two-Step Mediation Mendelian Randomization Analysis.. Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis. https://doi.org/10.1177/10760296261422488