Cardiovascular

Ozone and possible heat effects on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a time-series study.

TL;DR

Elevated ozone concentrations are important short-term triggers of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Tianjin, while high ambient temperatures showed a possible short-term association with limited statistical certainty, and exploratory analyses suggested a possible ozone-temperature interaction.

Key Findings

Ozone was the only air pollutant consistently associated with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest across single- and two-pollutant models.

  • Each IQR increase in lag0-1 O3 corresponded to a 15.3% higher risk of OHCA.
  • Six pollutants were examined: PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, CO, and O3.
  • Both single- and two-pollutant models were used to assess pollutant effects.
  • The lag0-1 exposure window was used for all pollutant analyses.

High ambient temperature showed a possible short-term association with OHCA risk, peaking at lag 1 day, but with limited statistical certainty.

  • The relative risk at the 95th percentile of temperature was approximately RR ≈ 1.57 at lag 1.
  • The minimum risk temperature was identified as -1.9°C.
  • Temperature showed a monotonic increase in cumulative risk across the distribution.
  • Confidence intervals included unity, indicating limited statistical certainty.
  • Low temperatures showed no significant effect on OHCA risk.

The ozone-OHCA association was comparable between men and women in sex-stratified analyses.

  • In men, each IQR increase in ozone was associated with RR = 1.22 (95% CI: 1.08–1.39).
  • In women, the corresponding RR was 1.22 (95% CI: 1.04–1.43).
  • The effect magnitude was essentially identical across sexes despite differences in precision.

Heat-related risks appeared stronger in women than in men, though estimates were imprecise.

  • The heat-related RR in women was approximately 3.16.
  • The heat-related RR in men was approximately 1.58.
  • The authors noted that estimates were imprecise and should be interpreted cautiously.
  • No adjustment for multiple testing was applied to sex-stratified analyses.

Exploratory interaction analyses suggested ozone may amplify the effect of heat on OHCA risk.

  • A statistically significant interaction between ozone and temperature was detected (p = 0.043).
  • Lag-response analyses confirmed a short-term peak at lag 1 day in the high-ozone group.
  • The authors cautioned that this finding should be interpreted cautiously given imprecision and lack of multiple-testing adjustment.
  • The interaction was described as 'exploratory.'

In age-specific analyses, the ≥75-year age group showed a positive trend for ozone exposure, but analyses were limited by sparse data.

  • Age-specific analyses were described as 'inconclusive' due to sparse data in age subgroups.
  • A positive trend for ozone was observed in the ≥75-year group.
  • The authors noted the need for larger cohorts to draw definitive age-specific conclusions.

The study analyzed 7,996 OHCA cases in Tianjin, China over a one-year period using a distributed lag non-linear model.

  • Cases were recorded by Tianjin's prehospital emergency system from July 2023 to June 2024.
  • Daily OHCA averaged 21.9 cases over the study period.
  • A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) with a quasi-Poisson link was used.
  • Temperature lag structure spanned lag 0–14 days; pollutant exposures used lag0-1.
  • Models adjusted for meteorological and temporal covariates.

What This Means

This research suggests that air pollution — specifically ozone — and high temperatures may increase the short-term risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), which is a sudden loss of heart function outside of a hospital setting. The study tracked nearly 8,000 cardiac arrest cases in Tianjin, China over one year and linked daily case counts to weather and pollution data. Among six air pollutants examined, only ozone was consistently and significantly associated with a higher risk of cardiac arrest, with each meaningful increase in ozone concentration linked to about a 15% higher risk over the following one to two days. High temperatures also appeared to raise risk, particularly the day after exposure, but the statistical evidence for this was less definitive. The study found that the ozone effect was similarly strong in both men and women. However, the temperature effect appeared larger in women than in men, though this finding was based on imprecise estimates and should be interpreted carefully. An exploratory analysis also suggested that ozone and heat together may have a combined effect larger than either alone, but the authors emphasized this should be treated as a preliminary observation requiring further investigation. This research matters because it identifies ozone as a potentially important environmental trigger for sudden cardiac events in a northern Chinese urban setting, suggesting that high-ozone days — which are common in summer — may pose a particular public health risk. The findings could inform air quality policy and public health warnings, especially for older adults and women, though the authors note that larger studies with better age-group data are needed to confirm these patterns.

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Citation

Pan S, Zhang H, Li K, Zhang S, Shen R, Gao B, et al.. (2026). Ozone and possible heat effects on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a time-series study.. Frontiers in public health. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1871041