Patient-Level Discordance Between SCORE2 Cardiovascular Risk and PD-1/PD-L1 Checkpoint-Expression Profiles in People Living with HIV: A Secondary Cohort Analysis.
SCORE2 cardiovascular risk scores and PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint-expression profiles showed limited contemporaneous alignment in people living with HIV, with discordant cardiovascular-immune profiles observed in 10.4% of evaluable participants.
Key Findings
Results
Smokers with HIV had significantly higher endpoint SCORE2 cardiovascular risk scores than nonsmokers.
Median endpoint SCORE2 was 3.5% in smokers versus 1.0% in nonsmokers.
The difference was statistically significant (p = 0.001).
Data were drawn from 100 people with HIV (PWH) followed at a single HIV center.
SCORE2 was assessed at baseline and after 12 months.
Results
Smoking status was not associated with higher composite or individual checkpoint-defined immune exhaustion.
Despite smokers having higher SCORE2, smoking was not associated with higher composite exhaustion index values.
Smoking was also not associated with higher individual PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint marker expression.
This dissociation suggests cardiovascular risk from smoking does not translate directly to immune checkpoint upregulation in PWH.
Results
Endpoint SCORE2 did not correlate with the composite immune exhaustion index or individual PD-1/PD-L1 markers.
Spearman correlation between endpoint SCORE2 and composite exhaustion index was ρ = 0.075 (p = 0.468).
No significant correlations were found between endpoint SCORE2 and individual PD-1/PD-L1 markers.
Endpoint SCORE2 did correlate with classical cardiovascular variables.
Composite immune-exhaustion indices were derived from standardized checkpoint-marker values assessed by flow cytometry on T-cell, B-cell, and NK-cell subsets.
Results
Discordant cardiovascular-immune profiles were identified in approximately 10% of evaluable participants.
Discordant profiles were observed in 10 of 96 evaluable participants (10.4%).
Discordance profiles were defined using quartile thresholds for endpoint SCORE2 and immune exhaustion.
The authors note these identified discordant profiles are exploratory and require external validation.
The full cohort comprised 100 PWH, with 96 evaluable for this discordance analysis.
Results
SCORE2 and PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint-expression profiles showed limited contemporaneous alignment in people living with HIV.
The study used a secondary analysis design of a previously characterized parent cohort.
Flow-cytometric PD-1/PD-L1 expression was measured on T-cell, B-cell, and NK-cell subsets.
CD4+/CD8+ ratio, lipid parameters, and systolic blood pressure were also assessed.
Both baseline and 12-month follow-up data were included in the analysis.
The authors conclude that conventional cardiovascular risk scores do not directly characterize immune checkpoint-expression phenotypes in PWH.
What This Means
This research examined whether a standard tool for predicting heart disease risk (called SCORE2) lines up with immune system measurements in people living with HIV. Specifically, the researchers looked at whether people with higher predicted cardiovascular risk also showed signs of immune exhaustion, measured by proteins called PD-1 and PD-L1 on immune cells. These proteins are known markers of immune cell "burnout," which is common in people with chronic HIV infection. The study followed 100 HIV-positive patients at a single clinic, measuring both cardiovascular risk factors and immune cell markers at the start of the study and again after 12 months.
The main finding was that cardiovascular risk scores and immune exhaustion markers did not track together. Even though smokers had much higher cardiovascular risk scores than non-smokers (median 3.5% vs. 1.0%), smoking did not correspond to greater immune exhaustion. Overall, the statistical correlation between the cardiovascular risk score and the composite immune exhaustion measure was essentially zero (ρ = 0.075). About 10% of patients (10 out of 96) showed a notable mismatch between their cardiovascular risk profile and their immune exhaustion profile — meaning some had high cardiovascular risk but low immune exhaustion, or vice versa.
This research suggests that in people with HIV, heart disease risk and immune system exhaustion are largely separate phenomena that do not reliably predict one another. This matters because clinicians managing HIV patients need to assess both cardiovascular and immune health independently, as a low cardiovascular risk score does not imply a healthy immune profile, and vice versa. The authors caution that the discordant profiles identified are preliminary and exploratory, and that larger studies at multiple sites are needed to confirm these findings.
Aksak-Wąs B, Skonieczna-Żydecka K, Cembrowska-Lech D, Parczewski M, Lewandowski F, Serwin K, et al.. (2026). Patient-Level Discordance Between SCORE2 Cardiovascular Risk and PD-1/PD-L1 Checkpoint-Expression Profiles in People Living with HIV: A Secondary Cohort Analysis.. Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland). https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens15080871