Body Composition

Prediction models for dynamic respiratory muscle strength in COPD and asthma patients based on fixed-pressure inspiratory muscle performance.

TL;DR

S-Index could be estimated with useful internal predictive performance from fixed-pressure inspiratory performance, spirometry, and body composition variables in male patients with COPD or asthma, though external validation is required before clinical implementation.

Key Findings

Peak inspiratory flow rate showed the strongest correlation with S-Index among all candidate predictors.

  • Peak inspiratory flow rate correlated with S-Index at r = 0.83
  • The number of inspiratory repetitions showed the second strongest correlation at r = 0.70
  • These variables were derived from a fixed-pressure task-to-failure protocol at 30 cmH₂O
  • Study included 123 male patients with COPD or asthma in a cross-sectional design

LassoLars regularized regression numerically achieved the lowest prediction error for S-Index in the full predictor scenario.

  • LassoLars achieved an RMSE of 7.156 cmH₂O (95% CI: 6.108–8.285)
  • MAE was 5.538 cmH₂O (95% CI: 4.778–6.352)
  • R² was 0.758 (95% CI: 0.651–0.829)
  • Lasso and Elastic Net produced similar results to LassoLars
  • Regularized and linear regression models showed broadly comparable internal predictive performance overall

Adding spirometry and inspiratory flow variables substantially increased the variance in S-Index explained by prediction models.

  • Models using only demographic, anthropometric, and body composition variables explained approximately 44–46% of variance in S-Index
  • Adding spirometry and inspiratory flow variables increased explained variance to approximately 70%
  • This demonstrates the incremental predictive value of functional respiratory measures beyond body composition alone

Multiple regression model types were evaluated and showed broadly comparable performance for predicting S-Index.

  • Models evaluated included linear, regularized (Lasso, Elastic Net, LassoLars), robust, support vector, quantile, and multilayer perceptron regression
  • Model performance was assessed using repeated nested five-fold cross-validation with 10 repetitions
  • Performance metrics included MSE, RMSE, MAE, and R² with bootstrap-derived 95% confidence intervals
  • Missing spirometry values were handled using 20 multiply imputed datasets
  • Complete-case sensitivity analysis yielded broadly consistent findings

The study population consisted exclusively of male patients with COPD or asthma from a single center.

  • Total sample size was 123 male patients
  • Patients had either COPD or asthma diagnoses
  • This was a cross-sectional predictive modeling study at a single center
  • The authors note these models require external validation before clinical implementation
  • Findings cannot be generalized to female patients or other respiratory conditions based on this study alone

The S-Index, a measure of dynamic inspiratory muscle strength reflecting pressure generation during flow-dependent inspiration, was assessed using a single-breath test.

  • S-Index reflects pressure generation during flow-dependent inspiration and may provide functional information beyond static respiratory muscle strength measures
  • Routine clinical use of S-Index is limited by the need for specialized equipment
  • The study aimed to develop prediction models to estimate S-Index from more accessible measures
  • Candidate predictors included pulmonary function, body composition, and fixed-pressure inspiratory performance at 30 cmH₂O

The developed prediction models are intended as complementary tools rather than substitutes for direct S-Index measurement.

  • Authors explicitly state models 'should be interpreted as complementary to, rather than substitutes for, direct S-Index measurement'
  • External validation is required before clinical implementation
  • Internal validation was conducted using repeated nested cross-validation
  • The study represents an internally validated single-center cohort result

What This Means

This research suggests that a measure of breathing muscle strength called the S-Index — which captures how forcefully patients can breathe in when airflow is involved — can be reasonably estimated using simpler, more widely available tests in men with COPD or asthma. The S-Index normally requires specialized equipment, so researchers developed mathematical prediction models using information from lung function tests (spirometry), body composition measurements, and a standardized breathing endurance task where patients breathed against a fixed resistance of 30 cmH₂O until they could no longer continue. Among 123 male patients, how fast a patient could inhale (peak inspiratory flow rate) and how many breathing repetitions they could complete were the most closely linked to the S-Index. The best-performing prediction model (called LassoLars) explained about 76% of the variation in S-Index values across patients, with an average prediction error of roughly 7 cmH₂O. Using only physical characteristics like weight and height explained only about 44–46% of the variation, but adding lung function and breathing flow data pushed this to around 70%, showing that functional breathing tests add meaningful information. Several different types of prediction models — from simple linear equations to more complex machine learning approaches — performed similarly, suggesting the relationship between these variables and S-Index is relatively straightforward. This research suggests that clinics without access to specialized S-Index equipment might be able to estimate this measure from tests they already perform, potentially making it easier to assess respiratory muscle function in COPD and asthma patients. However, the study was conducted in a single center and only in male patients, and the models were only tested on the same data used to build them (internal validation). The authors caution that these models should complement — not replace — direct S-Index measurement, and that testing in new, independent patient groups is needed before these tools could be used in routine clinical care.

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Citation

Yilmaz Y, Tosun M, Demirkan E, Yalcinkaya M, Efdal A, Boyacı H, et al.. (2026). Prediction models for dynamic respiratory muscle strength in COPD and asthma patients based on fixed-pressure inspiratory muscle performance.. BMC pulmonary medicine. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-026-04579-3