Predictive value of the monocyte-to-albumin ratio at admission for 30-day mortality in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis.
Gong L, Liu F, et al. • Frontiers in neurology • 2026
Admission monocyte-to-albumin ratio (MAR) is independently associated with 30-day mortality in elderly spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients, although its discriminative ability is limited (AUC 0.648), suggesting it may serve as a supplementary—not standalone—bedside risk stratification tool.
Key Findings
Results
30-day all-cause mortality in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage was 38.8% in this cohort.
Single-center retrospective study of 206 consecutive elderly patients (aged ≥65 years) with acute sICH
Primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality
80 of 206 patients died within 30 days (38.8% mortality rate)
Results
MAR was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors at admission.
Median MAR was 0.022 in non-survivors versus 0.016 in survivors
Difference was statistically significant (p < 0.001)
MAR was calculated as monocyte count (×10⁹/L) divided by serum albumin (g/L)
Results
The optimal MAR cutoff for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.021, determined by Youden's index.
AUC of 0.648 (95% CI 0.572–0.724)
Sensitivity of 57.5% and specificity of 68.3% at the cutoff of 0.021
Discriminative ability was characterized as limited by the authors
Results
MAR performance was comparable to other inflammatory markers for predicting 30-day mortality.
MAR AUC was 0.648, compared to neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio AUC of 0.643
Systemic inflammatory response index AUC was 0.637
No statistically significant differences between these markers' discriminative abilities were reported
Results
MAR > 0.021 was independently associated with 30-day mortality after multivariable adjustment.
Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.41 (95% CI 1.51–3.85, p < 0.001) in the primary multivariable Cox regression analysis
Association remained significant in sensitivity analysis using the ICH score as the primary severity covariate: adjusted HR 2.02 (95% CI 1.25–3.26, p = 0.004)
Kaplan-Meier analysis was also performed to assess survival differences by MAR category
Both analyses confirmed independent association after adjustment for confounders
Methods
The study design was a single-center retrospective analysis limited to an exclusively elderly cohort (aged ≥65 years).
206 consecutive elderly patients with acute sICH were included
Retrospective design limits causal inference
Single-center setting may limit generalizability
The authors noted that independent validation in an exclusively elderly cohort had previously been limited
What This Means
This research suggests that a simple blood test ratio—the monocyte-to-albumin ratio (MAR), which combines a marker of inflammation (monocytes) with a marker of nutritional status (albumin)—can help identify elderly stroke patients who are at higher risk of dying within 30 days of a brain bleed (spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage). Among 206 patients aged 65 and older admitted with this type of stroke, nearly 4 in 10 died within a month. Patients who died had notably higher MAR values at admission, and those with a MAR above 0.021 were more than twice as likely to die within 30 days compared to those with lower values, even after accounting for other important risk factors.
However, the study found that MAR is not a highly precise predictor on its own—its ability to distinguish survivors from non-survivors (measured by the AUC of 0.648) was only modest, and it performed similarly to other inflammation-based ratios already used in clinical practice. This means it would miss many high-risk patients or flag some low-risk patients if used alone. The authors emphasize that MAR should be considered a supplementary tool to aid clinical judgment rather than a standalone decision-making instrument.
The practical implication is that because MAR is calculated from routine blood tests already ordered in hospital admissions, it costs nothing extra to compute and could be incorporated into initial risk assessments for elderly brain bleed patients. This research suggests further prospective and multicenter studies are needed to confirm these findings and determine how best to combine MAR with other clinical information to improve prediction of outcomes in this vulnerable population.
Gong L, Liu F, Zhao K, Zhao H, Guo S, Zhang S. (2026). Predictive value of the monocyte-to-albumin ratio at admission for 30-day mortality in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis.. Frontiers in neurology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2026.1948936