Severe left internal iliac artery disease, chronic kidney disease, and increasing aortic cross-clamp duration were independently associated with 30-day mortality after open aorto-iliac reconstruction, while intraoperative blood loss was associated with late mortality in exploratory univariate analysis.
Key Findings
Results
Thirty-day mortality after open aorto-iliac reconstruction for aorto-iliac occlusive disease was 9.4% in a cohort of 170 consecutive patients.
Observational, non-randomised cohort of 170 consecutive patients operated between January 2018 and December 2024.
16 of 170 patients died within 30 days.
The small number of events (n = 16) led the authors to use Firth penalized likelihood logistic regression for the primary multivariable analysis.
Results
Severe left internal iliac artery (IIA) stenosis ≥70% was the strongest factor independently associated with 30-day mortality.
In the Firth penalized multivariable logistic regression: OR 9.68; 95% CI 3.08-30.43; p = 0.0001.
This was the largest effect size among the independent factors identified.
Results
Chronic kidney disease was independently associated with higher 30-day mortality.
Firth penalized multivariable logistic regression: OR 3.62; 95% CI 1.03-12.66; p = 0.044.
The lower confidence bound is close to 1, indicating a relatively imprecise estimate.
Results
Longer aortic cross-clamp duration was independently associated with 30-day mortality, both as a continuous variable and as a ≥60 minute threshold.
Continuous analysis: OR 1.022 per minute; 95% CI 1.000-1.045.
Categorical threshold of ≥60 min showed a consistent secondary association: OR 4.15; 95% CI 1.28-13.46; p = 0.018.
Results
Non-inclusion of the internal iliac artery in the reconstruction was associated with higher 30-day mortality on univariate analysis.
Univariate OR 4.80; 95% CI 1.31-17.62; p = 0.018.
This was reported as a univariate association, not among the independent factors in the primary multivariable model.
Results
Among 30-day survivors, intraoperative blood loss was the only factor significantly associated with late mortality in exploratory univariate Cox regression.
Landmark cohort of 154 patients who survived 30 days; 10 late deaths occurred during available follow-up.
HR 1.07 per 100 mL; 95% CI 1.03-12 (reported as 1.03-1.12); p = 0.0006.
Surviving patients were censored at last available follow-up; Kaplan-Meier methods were used.
Multivariable Cox modelling was not performed due to the limited number of late events.
Conclusions
The study's design has limitations that restrict the strength of its conclusions, and the authors call for validation in larger prospective cohorts.
Observational, non-randomised design with few events (16 early deaths, 10 late deaths).
Follow-up was variable (the authors cite the need for longer and more uniform follow-up).
Late-mortality analysis was exploratory and univariate only.
What This Means
This study looked at 170 patients who had open surgery to rebuild blocked arteries in the aorta and pelvis (aorto-iliac occlusive disease) at one center between 2018 and 2024. About 1 in 11 patients (9.4%) died within 30 days of surgery. The researchers examined which patient and surgical factors were linked to those early deaths.
Three factors stood out as independently linked to early death: severe narrowing (70% or more) of the left internal iliac artery, which supplies blood to the pelvis; chronic kidney disease; and longer time with the aorta clamped during surgery. Each additional minute of clamping was associated with slightly higher risk, and clamp times of an hour or more were linked to a bigger increase. Not restoring blood flow to the internal iliac artery was also linked to higher early mortality in a simpler analysis. Among patients who survived the first 30 days, greater blood loss during surgery was associated with a higher chance of dying later, though only 10 late deaths occurred.
These findings suggest that pelvic artery disease, kidney function, and operative factors such as clamp time and blood loss may be relevant to risk planning for this type of surgery. However, the study is small, from a single group of patients, and observational, so it cannot show cause and effect. The authors say larger prospective studies with longer and more consistent follow-up are needed to confirm the results.
Imanbayev M, Dyussupov A, Tussupkanov B, Muratzhanov E, Mautbekova A, Kozubayeva D, et al.. (2026). Predictors of Early Mortality After Open Aorto-Iliac Reconstruction in Patients with Aortoiliac Occlusive Disease: An Observational Cohort Study.. Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania). https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina62102001