Cardiovascular

Prognostic implications of functional significance, high-risk plaque and vessel characteristics in patients with diabetes mellitus.

TL;DR

In patients with diabetes mellitus, functional significance (FFR ≤ 0.80), high-risk plaque (HRP), and high-risk vessel (HRV) characteristics were independent predictors of target vessel failure, and deferred vessels with FFR > 0.80 but harboring HRP and/or HRV had a significantly higher risk comparable to that of functionally significant lesions.

Key Findings

Functional significance (FFR ≤ 0.80) was an independent predictor of target vessel failure in diabetic patients.

  • Adjusted HR 2.56 (95% CI 1.07–6.12; p = 0.034)
  • Analysis was performed on 307 vessels from 184 diabetic patients who underwent both CCTA and invasive FFR
  • HRs were adjusted for FFR, HRP, HRV, and the number of clinical risk factors
  • The primary endpoint was target vessel failure (TVF)

High-risk plaque (HRP) on CCTA was an independent predictor of target vessel failure in diabetic patients.

  • Adjusted HR 2.29 (95% CI 1.10–4.77; p = 0.028)
  • HRP was defined as the presence of ≥ 3 high-risk features among: minimal lumen area < 4 mm², plaque burden ≥ 70%, low-attenuation plaque, positive remodeling, spotty calcification, or napkin-ring sign
  • This finding was independent of FFR, HRV, and clinical risk factors

High-risk vessel (HRV) characteristics on CCTA were an independent predictor of target vessel failure in diabetic patients.

  • Adjusted HR 2.37 (95% CI 1.12–5.01; p = 0.025)
  • HRV was defined as the presence of ≥ 1 quantitative volumetric parameter above the optimal cutoff
  • HRV provided incremental prognostic value beyond FFR at the vessel level

Deferred vessels with FFR > 0.80 that harbored HRP and/or HRV had a significantly higher risk of TVF compared to the deferred low-risk group.

  • HR 4.78 (95% CI 1.68–13.57; p = 0.003) compared to deferred low-risk group
  • This finding applied specifically to vessels that were deferred from revascularization based on FFR > 0.80
  • The elevated risk in this group was 'comparable to that of deferred vessels with functional significance (FFR ≤ 0.80; HR 5.57; 95% CI 1.70–18.24; p = 0.005)'

The prognosis of deferred FFR > 0.80 vessels with HRP and/or HRV was comparable to that of functionally significant (FFR ≤ 0.80) deferred vessels.

  • Deferred vessels with FFR > 0.80 plus HRP/HRV: HR 4.78 (95% CI 1.68–13.57; p = 0.003)
  • Deferred vessels with FFR ≤ 0.80: HR 5.57 (95% CI 1.70–18.24; p = 0.005)
  • Both groups had substantially elevated risk compared to the deferred low-risk reference group
  • This suggests that anatomical high-risk features identify a subset of functionally non-significant lesions with similarly poor outcomes

Both lesion-level (HRP) and vessel-level (HRV) CCTA characteristics provided incremental prognostic value beyond FFR in diabetic patients.

  • The study population comprised 307 vessels from 184 diabetic patients
  • All patients underwent both CCTA and invasive FFR measurement
  • Incremental value was demonstrated after adjustment for FFR and number of clinical risk factors
  • The authors concluded that 'integrating these anatomical risk features may refine risk stratification for diabetic patients, particularly for those with functionally insignificant lesions'

What This Means

This research suggests that in people with diabetes who have coronary artery disease, looking at the physical characteristics of plaques (fatty deposits in arteries) and overall vessel appearance on CT scans provides important information about future heart events — information that goes beyond what a standard pressure-based test (called fractional flow reserve, or FFR) can tell us alone. The study followed 184 diabetic patients and 307 blood vessels, tracking whether those vessels eventually experienced a serious problem (called target vessel failure). Three factors each independently predicted bad outcomes: having a pressure drop across a blockage (FFR ≤ 0.80), having a 'high-risk plaque' with multiple dangerous features on CT, and having a 'high-risk vessel' with abnormal volume measurements on CT. A particularly notable finding was about vessels where the pressure test looked reassuring (FFR > 0.80, meaning doctors would typically decide not to treat them). When those vessels also had high-risk plaque or high-risk vessel features on CT, their risk of future problems was nearly five times higher than similar untreated vessels without those features — and almost as high as the risk seen in vessels where the pressure test itself indicated significant blockage. This suggests that CT scan features can identify a dangerous subset of lesions that a pressure test alone would miss. This research suggests that combining CT-based anatomical risk assessment with functional pressure measurements may improve how doctors identify which diabetic patients are at highest risk for future cardiac events, especially those whose arteries look 'safe' by pressure testing alone. Diabetes is known to promote widespread, diffuse coronary disease, and these findings highlight that the structural characteristics of plaques and vessels carry prognostic meaning beyond blood flow measurements in this patient population.

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Citation

Song J, Yang S, Hoshino M, Yonetsu T, Zhang J, Shin E, et al.. (2026). Prognostic implications of functional significance, high-risk plaque and vessel characteristics in patients with diabetes mellitus.. The Korean journal of internal medicine. https://doi.org/10.3904/kjim.2026.005