Sarcopenia partially mediates age-related all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes across three large cohorts, and modulates obesity-related outcomes variably across cohorts, suggesting sarcopenia prevention may reduce age- and obesity-associated health risks.
Key Findings
Results
Sarcopenia was consistently associated with increased all-cause mortality, particularly among older adults, across all three cohorts.
Three cohorts were analyzed: CHARLS (n=9433), ELSA (n=4389), and NHANES (n=16511)
Sarcopenia was defined using functional criteria in CHARLS and ELSA, and using skeletal muscle index (SMI) derived from appendicular skeletal muscle mass in NHANES
The combination of aging and sarcopenia amplified both mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks across cohorts
Results
Sarcopenia partially mediated age-related all-cause mortality across all three cohorts.
Mediation proportion for age-related all-cause mortality was 8.67% in CHARLS (n=9433)
Mediation proportion for age-related all-cause mortality was 8.56% in ELSA (n=4389)
Mediation proportion for age-related all-cause mortality was 4.36% in NHANES (n=16511)
A causal mediation analysis using counterfactual framework was used to estimate these mediating effects
Results
Sarcopenia partially mediated age-related cardiovascular outcomes across all three cohorts.
Mediation proportion for age-related cardiovascular outcomes was 8.5% in CHARLS
Mediation proportion for age-related cardiovascular outcomes was 7.48% in ELSA
Mediation proportion for age-related cardiovascular outcomes was 3.95% in NHANES
Cardiovascular outcomes were assessed alongside all-cause mortality in each cohort
Results
Sarcopenia attenuated the adverse effects of obesity on mortality in NHANES but not in CHARLS or ELSA.
This finding was specific to the NHANES cohort (n=16511)
The effect was not replicated in CHARLS or ELSA, indicating cohort-specific variation
Subgroup and sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings, showing similar mediation patterns across BMI categories or continuous exposure variables
Results
Sarcopenia mediated the impact of central obesity on all-cause mortality in NHANES but not in the other two cohorts.
This central obesity mediation finding was observed only in the NHANES cohort
The finding was not replicated in CHARLS or ELSA
Subgroup and sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness across BMI categories and continuous exposure variables
Results
Subgroup and sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the mediation findings across cohorts.
Analyses showed similar mediation patterns across BMI categories
Similar patterns were also observed when using continuous exposure variables
These analyses supported the main findings regarding sarcopenia's mediating role in age- and obesity-related outcomes
Li S, Huang Q, Liu Y, Wang S, Luo Y, Han X, et al.. (2026). Sarcopenia as a causal mediator in aging, obesity and central obesity related outcomes: A comprehensive analysis of NHANES, CHARLS and ELSA.. Nutrition, metabolism, and cardiovascular diseases : NMCD. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.numecd.2026.104541