Sleep

Sleep Duration and Depression as Predictors of Cancer Incidence in Middle-aged and Older Adults: A Longitudinal Analysis from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).

TL;DR

Longer sleep duration (≥5 h) is independently associated with a lower risk of newly-onset cancer in middle-aged and elderly adults, particularly in those with depression.

Key Findings

Longer sleep duration was associated with a reduced risk of incident cancer in middle-aged and older adults.

  • Fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR)=0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.51-0.84
  • 9,400 participants from CHARLS (2011-2020) were analyzed
  • Over a median follow-up period of 9.0 years, 271 participants (2.9%) developed newly-onset cancer
  • Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for analysis

The association between sleep duration and cancer risk was nonlinear, with an inflection point at 5.0 hours of sleep per night.

  • Restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression indicated a nonlinear association (nonlinearity p=0.005)
  • Sleeping ≥5 h per day was associated with an 18% lower risk of cancer (HR=0.82, 95% CI=0.74-0.91)
  • Shorter sleep duration (<5 h) showed no significant protective effect
  • Threshold-effect analysis was used to identify the inflection point at 5.0 h

The protective effect of longer sleep duration on cancer risk was more pronounced among individuals with depression.

  • Among individuals with depression, sleeping ≥5 h was associated with HR=0.64, 95% CI=0.44-0.92
  • Depression was examined as a modifying factor on the sleep-cancer association
  • The study specifically aimed to examine the effect of depression on the sleep-cancer association

Subgroup analyses revealed heterogeneity in the protective effect of sleep duration across different population characteristics.

  • The protective effect of sleep was stronger among men compared to other subgroups
  • Urban residents showed a stronger protective effect compared to rural residents
  • Individuals without hypertension showed a stronger protective effect
  • Smokers showed a stronger protective effect of sleep duration on cancer risk

Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used alongside Cox regression to evaluate the relationship between sleep duration and cancer risk.

  • Multiple analytical methods were employed including Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, RCS regression, and threshold-effect analysis
  • Data spanned from 2011 to 2020 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS)
  • The sample included middle-aged and elderly adults (n=9,400)

What This Means

This research followed nearly 9,400 middle-aged and older adults in China for a median of 9 years to examine whether how long people sleep is related to their likelihood of developing cancer. Over the study period, about 3% of participants were newly diagnosed with cancer. The researchers found that people who slept 5 or more hours per night had an 18% lower risk of developing cancer compared to those who slept less, and when looking at overall sleep duration as a continuous measure, longer sleep was associated with a 35% lower cancer risk after accounting for other factors. The relationship between sleep and cancer risk was not a simple straight line — there was a threshold effect at 5 hours of sleep per night. Sleeping less than 5 hours did not appear to offer the same protective benefit, while sleeping 5 or more hours was clearly associated with reduced cancer risk. This protective effect appeared especially strong among people who also had depression, as well as among men, urban residents, non-hypertensive individuals, and smokers. This research suggests that adequate sleep may play a meaningful role in cancer prevention, particularly for vulnerable groups such as those experiencing depression. The findings highlight sleep health as a potentially modifiable factor worth attention in public health efforts around cancer prevention, though as an observational study it cannot prove that sleep changes directly cause differences in cancer rates.

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Citation

Meng J, Mu B, Yang Y, He Y, Yang Z, Hoffman R, et al.. (2026). Sleep Duration and Depression as Predictors of Cancer Incidence in Middle-aged and Older Adults: A Longitudinal Analysis from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).. In vivo (Athens, Greece). https://doi.org/10.21873/invivo.14258