Poor sleep quality is significantly associated with a greater risk of falls among adults aged 50 or older, with depressive symptoms mediating approximately 28% of this association.
Key Findings
Results
Poorer sleep quality was independently associated with greater odds of falls in a cross-sectional analysis of UK adults aged 50 and older.
Cross-sectional analysis included 9,734 participants (mean age 68.11 years; 54.34% female).
2,446 participants reported falls at baseline.
After adjustment for covariates, OR = 1.07 (95% CI: 1.05–1.09, p < 0.0001).
Sleep quality was measured using the Jenkins Sleep Scale.
Logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations.
Results
Poorer sleep quality was prospectively associated with new-onset falls over a 4-year follow-up period.
Prospective analysis included 3,224 participants (mean age 68.32 years; 53.16% female).
1,452 participants reported new-onset falls over the follow-up period.
OR = 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01–1.07, p < 0.05) after covariate adjustment.
Follow-up spanned Wave 4 to Wave 8 of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA).
Results
Restricted cubic spline analyses revealed a dose-response relationship between worsening sleep quality and increasing fall risk.
RCS analyses showed an increase in fall risk as sleep quality worsened.
The overall association was statistically significant (p-overall < 0.05).
This dose-response pattern was observed in both the cross-sectional and prospective study designs.
Results
Machine learning approaches identified depressive symptoms as a key variable associated with falls across different study designs.
LASSO regression and the Boruta algorithm were both applied as machine learning methods.
Depressive symptoms were identified as key variables in both the cross-sectional and prospective analyses.
These approaches were used to identify risk factors for falls from among multiple covariates.
Results
Depressive symptoms partially mediated the association between sleep quality and both falls and new-onset falls.
Depressive symptoms mediated 28.24% of the association between sleep quality and falls in the cross-sectional analysis.
Depressive symptoms mediated 28.20% of the association between sleep quality and new-onset falls in the prospective analysis.
Mediation analyses were used to explore this potential underlying pathway.
The mediation proportion was nearly identical across both study designs, suggesting a consistent mechanism.
What This Means
This research suggests that older adults (aged 50 and above) in the UK who have poorer sleep quality face a meaningfully higher risk of falling, both at a single point in time and over a four-year follow-up period. The study analyzed data from thousands of participants in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, finding that each unit of worsening sleep quality was associated with a 7% higher odds of falls in the cross-sectional analysis and a 4% higher odds of new-onset falls in the prospective analysis. The relationship followed a dose-response pattern, meaning that as sleep quality got worse, the risk of falls continued to increase.
The study also investigated why poor sleep might lead to falls, using both machine learning tools and mediation analysis. Depressive symptoms emerged as a particularly important factor, accounting for roughly 28% of the link between poor sleep and falls. This means that part of the reason poor sleepers fall more often may be because poor sleep contributes to depression, and depression in turn raises fall risk — though the majority of the sleep-fall association appears to operate through other mechanisms not fully explained in this study.
This research suggests that addressing both sleep problems and depressive symptoms in older adults could be a useful strategy for reducing fall risk in this population. Falls are a major public health issue for aging populations, often leading to serious injury and loss of independence, so identifying modifiable risk factors like sleep quality and depression is practically important for healthcare and public health planning.
Li Y, Rong Y, Jiang K, Lu B, Liang X, Li J, et al.. (2026). Sleep Quality and Falls Risk in the ELSA Study: A Cross-Sectional and Prospective Cohort Study.. Brain and behavior. https://doi.org/10.1002/brb3.71719