Serum CAR and IL-6 independently correlate with brain injury severity and 28-day mortality after ICH, acting as easily accessible predictive biomarkers, with their combined model yielding an AUC of 0.810.
Key Findings
Results
Serum CAR and IL-6 levels were markedly higher in 28-day non-survivors compared to survivors of intracerebral hemorrhage.
125 ICH patients were enrolled, split into 28-day survivors (n=77) and non-survivors (n=48)
Patients were admitted to Fuyang People's Hospital between July 2024 and May 2026
Admission serum CRP, ALB, and IL-6 were tested for all patients
Both biomarkers rose progressively with aggravated brain injury and higher ICH mortality risk
Results
CAR independently predicted 28-day mortality in ICH patients after adjustment for age, hematoma volume, and admission GCS score.
OR = 1.540, 95% CI: 1.092–2.172, p = 0.014
CAR is calculated as the C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio
Separate multivariate logistic regression models were used, adjusted for age, hematoma volume, and admission GCS score
Age, ICH score, GCS, CAR, and IL-6 were all significant in univariate regression
Results
IL-6 independently predicted 28-day mortality in ICH patients after adjustment for age, hematoma volume, and admission GCS score.
OR = 3.940, 95% CI: 1.034–15.003, p = 0.044
IL-6 showed a stronger odds ratio than CAR in separate multivariate models
Separate multivariate logistic regression models were adjusted for age, hematoma volume, and admission GCS score
Results
The combined CAR-IL-6 model demonstrated superior predictive performance for 28-day mortality compared to either biomarker alone.
Combined CAR-IL-6 model yielded a raw AUC of 0.810
Individual AUC values were 0.702 for CAR and 0.718 for IL-6
DeLong's test showed the combined model performed significantly better than CAR alone (p = 0.035)
The combined model achieved a maximum Youden index of 0.558
Results
Both CAR and IL-6 showed moderate negative correlations with GCS scores and weak positive correlations with ICH scores.
Spearman correlation analysis was used to assess relationships between biomarkers and clinical scores
All correlations were statistically significant (all p < 0.05)
GCS score was used to assess brain injury severity; ICH score was used to stratify 28-day death risk
The moderate negative correlation with GCS indicates higher biomarker levels correspond to lower (worse) GCS scores
What This Means
This research suggests that two blood biomarkers — the CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) — can help predict which patients with brain hemorrhage (intracerebral hemorrhage, or ICH) are more likely to die within 28 days of admission. The study followed 125 ICH patients in China, finding that patients who died within 28 days had significantly higher levels of both biomarkers at the time of hospital admission. Higher levels of these markers were also associated with more severe brain injury as measured by standard clinical tools.
When used together in a combined model, CAR and IL-6 predicted 28-day mortality with an AUC (a measure of predictive accuracy) of 0.810, which is considered a reasonable level of discriminatory ability. This combined model performed significantly better than CAR alone. Each biomarker also independently predicted mortality even after accounting for other known risk factors such as age, hematoma volume, and initial level of consciousness.
This research suggests that these two relatively simple and accessible blood tests, when measured at hospital admission, could help clinicians identify ICH patients at higher risk of short-term death, potentially enabling earlier and more aggressive management. However, the authors note that prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings before they can be routinely applied in clinical practice.
Tian Y, Liu J, Zhu D, Li C, Liu Y, Wang W. (2026). Systemic inflammatory biomarkers CAR and IL-6: correlation with neurological deficit and short-term prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage.. Frontiers in neurology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2026.1915042