Cardiovascular

The association between the ZJU index and short-term prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a cohort study.

TL;DR

The ZJU index is independently and non-linearly negatively associated with short-term functional outcomes in AIS patients, with higher ZJU index values associated with lower risk of poor prognosis at 3 months.

Key Findings

Higher ZJU index was independently associated with lower odds of poor functional outcome at 3 months in AIS patients after full adjustment for confounders.

  • Multivariable logistic regression revealed a significant negative correlation between the ZJU index and short-term prognosis (OR = 0.975, 95% CI: 0.952–0.998) when treated as a continuous variable.
  • The analysis was performed on a cohort of 1,897 AIS patients from a single-center prospective longitudinal registry database in Korea.
  • Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score >2 at 3 months post-stroke.
  • Sequential adjustments were made for demographic, clinical, and laboratory confounders.

Patients in higher ZJU index quartiles (Q2–Q4) had significantly lower risks of poor prognosis compared to the lowest quartile (Q1).

  • Using the first quartile (Q1) as reference, patients in the second to fourth quartiles (Q2–Q4) had significantly lower risks of poor prognosis.
  • This quartile-based analysis provided complementary evidence to the continuous variable analysis.
  • The ZJU index was calculated as: FPG (mmol/L) + BMI (kg/m²) + 3 × (ALT/AST ratio) + 2 (if female) + TG (mmol/L).

Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a significant non-linear negative relationship between the ZJU index and risk of poor functional outcome.

  • The overall association was statistically significant (Overall P < 0.001) and the non-linear component was also significant (Non-linear P = 0.013).
  • The association followed a threshold nonlinear trend: risk of poor functional outcome decreased rapidly with elevated ZJU index and plateaued after reaching a critical cut-off value.
  • This non-linear pattern suggests a saturation effect beyond a certain ZJU index threshold.

The protective association between higher ZJU index and better functional outcome was consistent across most subgroups but was absent in patients with diabetes.

  • Subgroup analyses examined consistency across different genders, ages, hyperlipidemia status, smoking status, and history of coronary heart disease.
  • The protective association remained consistent across all these subgroups except in the diabetes subgroup.
  • The diabetes subgroup represented a notable exception, suggesting metabolic context may modify the relationship between ZJU index and stroke outcomes.

The ZJU index integrates four metabolic parameters into a composite score designed to capture multidimensional metabolic health relevant to stroke prognosis.

  • The ZJU index formula incorporates fasting plasma glucose (FPG), body mass index (BMI), ALT/AST ratio, triglycerides (TG), and a sex adjustment factor (+2 if female).
  • This was a post-hoc analysis of a prospective longitudinal registry database from a single center in Korea.
  • The study authors note a prior lack of research on the association between the ZJU index and AIS prognosis, framing this as a novel application of the index.

What This Means

This research suggests that a composite metabolic score called the ZJU index — which combines blood sugar levels, body mass index, a liver enzyme ratio, triglycerides (a type of fat in the blood), and sex — can help predict how well stroke patients recover in the short term. The study followed nearly 1,900 patients who had acute ischemic strokes (caused by a blood clot blocking blood flow to the brain) and assessed their functional recovery at three months. Patients with higher ZJU index scores were less likely to have poor functional outcomes, meaning they were more likely to be able to care for themselves independently. The relationship between the ZJU index and recovery was not a simple straight line. Instead, higher ZJU index values were associated with rapidly improving outcomes up to a certain threshold, after which the benefit leveled off. This non-linear pattern held across a wide range of patient types — including men and women, older and younger patients, smokers, and those with high cholesterol or heart disease — with one important exception: patients with diabetes did not show the same protective pattern, suggesting that diabetes may alter how metabolic factors relate to stroke recovery. This research suggests that the ZJU index, which is easy to calculate from routine clinical measurements, may have practical value as a tool to help clinicians identify stroke patients at higher risk of poor recovery and to guide personalized management of metabolic health after stroke. However, because this was a single-center study conducted in Korea and used a post-hoc analysis design, further research in diverse populations would be needed to confirm these findings and establish clinical utility.

Have a question about this study?

Citation

Zhang X, Lu P, Yang Y, Chen L, Wei Z, Jiao L, et al.. (2026). The association between the ZJU index and short-term prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a cohort study.. Frontiers in endocrinology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fendo.2026.1899419