Cardiovascular

The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte index as a predictor of new-onset atrial fibrillation after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A retrospective cohort study.

TL;DR

A lower admission C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte index was independently associated with clinically documented 30-day new-onset atrial fibrillation after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and may provide incremental predictive information.

Key Findings

New-onset atrial fibrillation occurred in 8.4% of STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI within 30 days.

  • 56 out of 665 consecutive patients developed new-onset atrial fibrillation
  • The study enrolled patients between January 2023 and October 2025 at a single center
  • New-onset AF was defined as the first documented episode within 30 days after PCI
  • All patients underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention

The CALLY index was independently and inversely associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation in multivariable logistic regression.

  • Odds ratio for CALLY index = 0.813 (p < 0.05), indicating lower CALLY index values were associated with higher AF risk
  • The model adjusted for age, heart rate, left atrial diameter, infarct-related artery-right coronary artery, left ventricular ejection fraction, and fasting blood glucose
  • Five variables total remained independently associated with new-onset AF in the multivariable model
  • The CALLY index is described as a composite biomarker reflecting inflammation, nutritional status, and immune function

Four additional variables were independently associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation: left atrial diameter, infarct-related artery involvement of the right coronary artery, left ventricular ejection fraction, and fasting blood glucose.

  • Left atrial diameter: OR = 1.179 (p < 0.05)
  • Infarct-related artery-right coronary artery: OR = 1.992 (p < 0.05)
  • Left ventricular ejection fraction: OR = 0.933 (p < 0.05), indicating lower LVEF associated with higher AF risk
  • Fasting blood glucose: OR = 1.321 (p < 0.05)

Among individual biomarkers examined, the CALLY index demonstrated the highest predictive ability for new-onset atrial fibrillation.

  • CALLY index AUC = 0.743 (95% CI: 0.685–0.801)
  • This AUC was higher than that of individual component biomarkers including C-reactive protein, albumin, and lymphocyte count assessed separately
  • Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess predictive performance

Adding the CALLY index to a baseline clinical model significantly improved risk reclassification for new-onset atrial fibrillation.

  • Net reclassification improvement (NRI) = 0.7323 (p < 0.001) when CALLY index was added to the baseline model
  • Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) = 0.0593 (p = 0.005)
  • The baseline model included age, heart rate, left atrial diameter, infarct-related artery-right coronary artery, LVEF, and fasting blood glucose
  • Both NRI and IDI were statistically significant, indicating incremental predictive value beyond standard clinical variables

The study design was a single-center retrospective cohort, and the authors note external validation is required before clinical application.

  • 665 consecutive STEMI patients were included
  • CALLY index was calculated from admission laboratory values
  • Multivariable logistic regression, ROC curve analysis, and reclassification metrics were used
  • Authors explicitly state external validation is required before clinical application

What This Means

This research suggests that a blood test composite score called the CALLY index — which combines C-reactive protein (a marker of inflammation), albumin (a marker of nutrition), and lymphocyte count (a marker of immune function) — measured at hospital admission can help predict which heart attack patients are likely to develop a heart rhythm problem called atrial fibrillation (AF) within 30 days of having a procedure to open blocked arteries. In a group of 665 patients who had this procedure (primary PCI) for a serious type of heart attack (STEMI), about 8.4% developed new-onset AF. Patients with lower CALLY index scores were more likely to develop AF, suggesting that worse inflammation, poorer nutritional status, and impaired immune function at the time of admission are linked to higher AF risk. The CALLY index outperformed its individual component biomarkers in predicting AF, achieving an area under the curve of 0.743. When added to a model that already included established risk factors such as left atrial size, heart function, blood sugar, and which coronary artery was blocked, the CALLY index meaningfully improved the ability to correctly classify patients' risk. Other independent predictors of new-onset AF included a larger left atrial diameter, right coronary artery involvement, lower heart pumping function, and higher fasting blood glucose. This research suggests that a single composite blood score taken on admission could add useful information for identifying STEMI patients at elevated risk of developing atrial fibrillation after their procedure. However, because this was a single-center retrospective study, the authors caution that the findings need to be confirmed in other patient populations before the CALLY index could be routinely used in clinical practice.

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Citation

Jin M, Peng S, Liu K, Yin J, Li F, Zhang Y. (2026). The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte index as a predictor of new-onset atrial fibrillation after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A retrospective cohort study.. The Journal of international medical research. https://doi.org/10.1177/03000605261487233