The impact of the Lancet Commission definition of obesity on its prevalence and implications on long-term cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes in East Asians: Observational study of two community-based cohorts.
Adoption of the Lancet Commission definition would classify a small proportion of individuals with BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 as non-obese, and people with clinical obesity identified by the revised criteria had the highest risks of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality, whereas individuals reclassified as non-obese had intermediate risks between those in pre-clinical obesity and overweight categories.
Key Findings
Results
The prevalence of obesity decreased when applying the Lancet Commission definition compared to BMI-only criteria in both men and women.
Using the Asian BMI cutoff of ≥25.0 kg/m2, obesity prevalence was 44.5% in men and 26.7% in women in the cross-sectional cohort.
Using the Lancet Commission definition (BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 and elevated waist circumference), prevalence decreased to 33.8% in men and 24.1% in women.
The reduction was more pronounced in men (44.5% to 33.8%) than in women (26.7% to 24.1%).
Results
Individuals reclassified as non-obese under the Lancet Commission definition (BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 but normal waist circumference) had an intermediate adverse cardiometabolic health profile.
This reclassified group (category iii) had cardiometabolic risk profiles intermediate among the five categories regarding insulin resistance and visceral adiposity.
Their profile fell in between pre-clinical obesity (category ii) and overweight (category iv).
This group was initially classified as obese by BMI criteria alone but had normal waist circumference.
Results
In the longitudinal cohort with over 20 years of follow-up, clinical obesity was associated with the poorest cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality.
The longitudinal cohort had a median follow-up of over 20 years.
Outcomes assessed included cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes and all-cause mortality.
People with clinical obesity had the poorest outcomes among all five categories examined.
Individuals reclassified as non-obese had intermediate risk of adverse cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes among the five categories.
Methods
The Lancet Commission definition requires at least one anthropometric measurement in addition to BMI to confirm excess adiposity, and uses presence of obesity-related organ dysfunction to differentiate between clinical and pre-clinical obesity.
The Lancet Commission proposed this updated definition in January 2025.
Five categories were compared: (i) clinical obesity, (ii) preclinical obesity, (iii) BMI ≥25 kg/m2 without confirmed excess adiposity, (iv) overweight, and (v) normal/underweight.
Two representative Chinese community-based cohorts were used: one cross-sectional and one longitudinal.
All participants were Chinese, which the authors identified as the main limitation, as findings might not apply to other ethnic groups.
Results
Individuals reclassified as non-obese under the Lancet Commission definition had intermediate long-term risks of adverse cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes between those in pre-clinical obesity and overweight categories.
This intermediate risk positioning was consistent with their intermediate cardiometabolic risk profiles observed in the cross-sectional analysis.
The reclassified individuals had worse outcomes than the overweight category but better outcomes than those with pre-clinical obesity.
The finding suggests that reclassification to non-obese status does not indicate absence of cardiometabolic risk.
Lui D, Fong C, Zou X, Xu A, Tse H, Woo J, et al.. (2026). The impact of the Lancet Commission definition of obesity on its prevalence and implications on long-term cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes in East Asians: Observational study of two community-based cohorts.. PLoS medicine. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004749