Cardiovascular

The predictive value of the leuko-glycemic index in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients undergoing neurosurgical operation: a retrospective cohort study.

TL;DR

The leuko-glycemic index (LGI) was identified as an independent predictor of unfavorable prognosis after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage surgery, with an LGI exceeding 98.38 associated with a higher likelihood of poor functional recovery.

Key Findings

The majority of spontaneous ICH patients undergoing neurosurgical operation had unfavorable outcomes at 90 days.

  • 720 postoperative ICH patients were enrolled in the retrospective cohort study.
  • 224 patients (31.11%) achieved a favorable prognosis at 90 days as measured by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores.
  • 496 patients (68.89%) had an unfavorable outcome at 90 days.
  • Data were collected from Qingdao University Affiliated Hospital between January 2013 and December 2023.

LGI was identified as an independent predictor of unfavorable prognosis after ICH surgery via binary logistic regression.

  • LGI had an odds ratio of 1.009 (95% CI, 1.004–1.013; p < 0.001).
  • Univariate analysis also revealed statistically significant disparities in age, intraventricular hemorrhage presence, GCS score at admission, timing of surgical intervention, serum potassium, blood glucose, and heart rate.
  • Binary logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors among the significant univariate variables.
  • Both LGI and GCS score were retained as reliable independent indicators in the final predictive framework.

An LGI threshold of 98.38 was identified as the optimal cut-point for predicting poor functional recovery via ROC analysis.

  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the discriminatory power and optimal threshold of LGI.
  • An LGI exceeding 98.38 was associated with a higher likelihood of poor functional recovery.
  • A GCS score of 9 or more tended to predict a more favorable outcome.
  • The study established a predictive framework incorporating both LGI and GCS score as clinical outcome assessment tools.

Both preoperative LGI and admission GCS score serve as reliable indicators of clinical prognosis in spontaneous ICH patients undergoing neurosurgical operation.

  • The study examined associations between inflammatory biomarkers and postoperative prognosis.
  • LGI is derived from leukocyte count and blood glucose, reflecting both inflammatory and metabolic stress responses.
  • GCS score at admission was among the variables showing statistically significant disparities between favorable and unfavorable outcome groups in univariate analysis.
  • The two measures together formed the basis of the study's proposed predictive framework for surgical outcome assessment.

What This Means

This research suggests that a combined measure called the leuko-glycemic index (LGI) — which reflects both inflammation (white blood cell count) and blood sugar levels — can help predict how well patients will recover after surgery for spontaneous brain bleeding (intracerebral hemorrhage). The study followed 720 patients over 10 years and found that nearly 69% had poor functional outcomes 90 days after surgery. Patients with an LGI above 98.38 at the time of hospital admission were more likely to have poor recovery, while those with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 9 or higher tended to do better. The study found that LGI was an independent predictor of poor outcomes, meaning its association with recovery held even after accounting for other factors like age and the presence of bleeding in the brain's ventricles. This suggests that elevated blood sugar and high white blood cell counts together — both signs of physiological stress — are meaningful warning signs in this patient population. This research suggests that LGI could be a simple, accessible tool for clinicians to use alongside existing measures like the GCS to better assess surgical risk and prognosis in spontaneous ICH patients. Because LGI is calculated from routine blood tests already performed on admission, it could potentially be incorporated into clinical decision-making without additional cost or testing. However, as a retrospective single-center study, further validation in larger and more diverse populations would be needed before widespread clinical adoption.

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Citation

Sun J, Zhan Y, Zhang A, Fan M. (2026). The predictive value of the leuko-glycemic index in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients undergoing neurosurgical operation: a retrospective cohort study.. Frontiers in neurology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2026.1887070