Frailty substantially mediates the association between testosterone levels and mortality in older men, accounting for 35.9% of the total effect for all-cause mortality and 21.7% for cardiovascular disease mortality.
Key Findings
Results
Higher testosterone levels were associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality in older men.
Hazard ratio 0.892 (95% CI 0.830–0.959; P = 0.002) per unit increase in testosterone
Analysis based on 1478 men aged 60 years or more from NHANES 2011–2016
Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association
Results
Higher testosterone levels were associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease mortality in older men.
Hazard ratio 0.820 (95% CI 0.716–0.939; P = 0.004) per unit increase in testosterone
Analysis based on the same NHANES cohort of 1478 men aged 60 years or more
Cox proportional hazards models were used
Results
Frailty index was strongly associated with both all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality.
HR 1.648 per 0.1 increase in frailty index for all-cause mortality
HR 1.723 per 0.1 increase in frailty index for cardiovascular disease mortality
Frailty was measured using a frailty index derived from NHANES data
Results
Frailty mediated 35.9% of the total association between testosterone and all-cause mortality, consistent with near-complete mediation.
Mediation analysis conducted on the log-hazard scale using the product-of-coefficients approach and Sobel tests
The proportion mediated was calculated as the ratio of the indirect to total effect
After adjustment for frailty, the residual direct effect of testosterone on all-cause mortality was attenuated and no longer statistically significant
The pattern was described as 'consistent with near-complete mediation'
Results
Frailty mediated 21.7% of the association between testosterone and cardiovascular disease mortality, consistent with partial mediation.
The indirect pathway through frailty accounted for 21.7% of the total association with cardiovascular disease mortality
After adjustment for frailty, the direct effect was reduced but its effect size and confidence interval indicated remaining direct pathways
This pattern supported 'a partial rather than complete mediation' for cardiovascular disease mortality
Methods
The study sample consisted of 1478 older men drawn from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011–2016.
All participants were aged 60 years or more
Data came from three NHANES cycles: 2011–2012, 2013–2014, and 2015–2016
Mediation analysis used the product-of-coefficients approach and Sobel tests to quantify indirect effects via the frailty index
Zhang P, Hao W, Ji W, Yuan T, Dai J, Ji L, et al.. (2026). The role of frailty in the association between testosterone levels and mortality risk in older men.. Maturitas. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.maturitas.2026.108834