The temporal interplay between physical activity, emotional well-being, and health-related quality of life in individuals with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cross-lagged panel analysis.
Kristoffersen S, Domazet S, et al. • Diabetes research and clinical practice • 2026
HRQoL and emotional well-being predicted subsequent MVPA, whereas MVPA showed limited and inconsistent effects on later HRQoL or EWB in individuals recently diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Key Findings
Results
Baseline physical component score of HRQoL (PCS) predicted MVPA at 24 months and PCS at 24 months predicted MVPA at 48 months in recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes.
Baseline PCS predicted MVPA at 24 months (β = 0.124, p < 0.001)
PCS at 24 months predicted MVPA at 48 months (β = 0.146, p < 0.001)
Both associations were adjusted for age and sex
Sample size was 972 adults with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus
Results
Baseline mental component score of HRQoL (MCS) predicted MVPA at 24 months but not at 48 months.
Baseline MCS predicted MVPA at 24 months (β = 0.116, p = 0.001)
MCS did not predict MVPA at 48 months (β = -0.016, p = 0.653)
This suggests the effect of mental HRQoL on physical activity diminished over time
Results
Baseline emotional well-being (EWB) predicted MVPA at 24 months but not at 48 months.
Baseline EWB predicted MVPA at 24 months (β = 0.080, p = 0.023)
EWB did not significantly predict MVPA at 48 months (β = 0.068, p = 0.058)
EWB was measured using the WHO-5 scale
Results
Baseline MVPA did not predict physical component score (PCS) at 24 months, but MVPA at 24 months did predict PCS at 48 months.
Baseline MVPA did not predict PCS at 24 months (β = 0.038, p = 0.184)
MVPA at 24 months predicted PCS at 48 months (β = 0.065, p = 0.024)
This indicates a delayed or emerging effect of MVPA on physical HRQoL
Results
MVPA did not predict mental component score (MCS) or emotional well-being (EWB) at any time point.
No statistically significant cross-lagged effects of MVPA on MCS were found
No statistically significant cross-lagged effects of MVPA on EWB were found
These null findings contrast with the significant effects of MCS and EWB on subsequent MVPA
The overall pattern suggests a primarily unidirectional relationship where psychological and HRQoL factors drive physical activity rather than the reverse
Methods
A three-wave cross-lagged panel model was used to assess bidirectional longitudinal associations over 48 months in recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes.
972 adults with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus participated
MVPA was assessed using accelerometry
HRQoL was assessed using the SF-12 (physical component score [PCS] and mental component score [MCS])
Emotional well-being was assessed using the WHO-5
Measurements were conducted at baseline, 24 months, and 48 months
Kristoffersen S, Domazet S, Pouwer F, Nielsen J, Olesen T, Stidsen J, et al.. (2026). The temporal interplay between physical activity, emotional well-being, and health-related quality of life in individuals with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cross-lagged panel analysis.. Diabetes research and clinical practice. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diabres.2026.113185