This study nominates FOS and IL12A as potential therapeutic targets for diabetic nephropathy, with their involvement mediated via mTORC1 signaling, PCT1 cellular reprogramming, immune microenvironment remodeling, and interactions with a gut microbiota-metabolite axis.
MR analysis was applied to establish causal associations between druggable genome genes (DGGs) and DN.
1,263 genes were identified as both potentially involved in DN pathogenesis and as candidate drug targets.
This approach leverages genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer causality, reducing confounding compared to observational studies.
Results
FOS and IL12A were selected as key candidate therapeutic target genes for diabetic nephropathy using machine learning algorithms.
Machine learning algorithms were applied to the MR-prioritized gene list to further narrow down key genes.
Both FOS and IL12A were significantly downregulated in DN samples.
RT-qPCR validation in blood samples confirmed the downregulation of both genes (p < 0.05).
These two genes were selected from the broader pool of 1,263 MR-identified candidate genes.
Results
A predictive nomogram model incorporating FOS and IL12A achieved an area under the curve (AUC) greater than 0.7 for diabetic nephropathy.
The nomogram was constructed to assess the predictive utility of the two key genes.
AUC > 0.7 indicates acceptable discriminative ability for DN diagnosis or risk stratification.
This model provides a preliminary framework for clinical translation of these biomarkers.
Results
Functional enrichment analysis highlighted the mTOR complex 1 (mTORC1) signaling pathway as a key biological mechanism associated with FOS and IL12A in diabetic nephropathy.
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was used to identify enriched pathways.
mTORC1 signaling was the most prominently highlighted pathway.
mTORC1 is a known regulator of cellular metabolism and has prior implications in kidney disease progression.
Results
FOS expression showed a strong positive correlation with neutrophil infiltration in diabetic nephropathy tissue.
The correlation coefficient between FOS expression and neutrophil infiltration was r = 0.856 (p < 0.05).
Immune infiltration analysis was performed to assess the relationship between gene expression and immune cell composition.
This strong positive correlation suggests FOS may play a role in neutrophil-mediated inflammatory processes in DN.
Results
IL12A expression showed an inverse correlation with M2 macrophage infiltration in diabetic nephropathy.
The correlation coefficient between IL12A expression and M2 macrophage infiltration was r = -0.377 (p < 0.05).
M2 macrophages are generally considered anti-inflammatory and tissue-remodeling immune cells.
The inverse correlation suggests that reduced IL12A in DN may be associated with altered macrophage polarization states.
Results
Molecular docking revealed that both FOS and IL12A may stably bind to the gut microbiota-derived metabolite butyrate.
Binding energy for FOS with butyrate was -7.3 kcal/mol.
Binding energy for IL12A with butyrate was -7.0 kcal/mol.
IL12A also demonstrated binding to trimethylamine (TMA), another gut microbiota metabolite, with a binding energy of -6.4 kcal/mol.
Lower (more negative) binding energies indicate more stable molecular interactions.
Results
Specific gut microbiota species, including Faecalibacterium prausnitzii and Lactobacillus acidophilus, showed preliminary associations with the identified therapeutic targets.
These microbiota associations were identified as preliminary correlations supporting the gut microbiota-metabolite axis hypothesis.
Faecalibacterium prausnitzii is a known butyrate-producing bacterium, consistent with the butyrate docking findings.
Lactobacillus acidophilus is associated with various metabolic and immune regulatory functions.
The authors describe these as 'preliminary associations' requiring further validation.
Results
Single-cell RNA sequencing analysis identified proximal convoluted tubule cell 1 (PCT1) as a central cell type in diabetic nephropathy, with altered cell communication and differentiation trajectories.
scRNA-seq analysis included pseudotime trajectory and cell communication analysis.
PCT1 cells showed altered differentiation trajectories in the DN context.
FOS expression showed dynamic changes across pseudotime in PCT1 cells.
IL12A remained persistently downregulated across cell states in PCT1 cells.
The authors describe these scRNA-seq findings as 'preliminary analysis.'
What This Means
This research suggests that two genes, FOS and IL12A, may be important therapeutic targets for diabetic nephropathy (DN), a serious kidney complication of diabetes. The researchers used a combination of genetic analysis techniques—including Mendelian randomization, which uses genetic variants to infer cause-and-effect relationships—along with machine learning, molecular modeling, and single-cell analysis to identify and validate these genes. Both FOS and IL12A were found to be significantly reduced in DN, and this was confirmed in blood samples from patients. A predictive model using these two genes showed reasonable accuracy in identifying DN cases.
The study also found that these genes appear to connect several important biological processes relevant to kidney disease: the mTORC1 metabolic signaling pathway, immune cell activity (particularly neutrophils and macrophages), and interactions with gut bacteria and their chemical byproducts. Specifically, computer modeling showed that both FOS and IL12A can physically bind to butyrate, a chemical produced by beneficial gut bacteria like Faecalibacterium prausnitzii, suggesting a potential link between gut health and kidney disease progression. Analysis of individual kidney cells further identified a specific tubule cell type (PCT1) as particularly important in DN, with FOS and IL12A showing distinct activity patterns in these cells.
This research suggests that targeting FOS and IL12A—potentially through drugs or even dietary interventions that influence gut bacteria—could represent new therapeutic strategies for diabetic nephropathy. The findings highlight a previously underexplored connection between gut microbiome-derived metabolites and kidney disease biology, which could open new avenues for treatment beyond current standard-of-care approaches. However, these are preliminary findings requiring further experimental validation before any clinical application.
Niu L, Ma R, Miao C, Liu F, Li B. (2026). Therapeutic targets for diabetic nephropathy identified by druggable genome mendelian randomization: the role of the gut microbiota-metabolite axis.. Frontiers in endocrinology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fendo.2026.1817400