The TyG index was not associated with incident stroke in elderly patients with T2DM, suggesting limited prognostic utility of the TyG index for stroke risk prediction in this population.
Key Findings
Results
About 5% of elderly patients with T2DM developed CT-confirmed incident stroke over roughly 4.7 years of follow-up.
The cohort included 1024 patients aged ≥60 years with T2DM at a provincial tertiary care center in Northern Thailand.
51 patients (5.0%) developed incident stroke.
Mean follow-up was 4.7 years; the primary outcome was computed tomography-confirmed stroke during a 5-year follow-up.
Results
Higher TyG index quartiles were associated with less favorable metabolic profiles.
The TyG index was calculated from baseline fasting triglyceride and fasting plasma glucose levels and categorized into quartiles.
The abstract does not give the specific metabolic variables that differed across quartiles.
Results
Stroke-free survival did not differ significantly across TyG index quartiles.
Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare stroke-free survival across quartiles.
The abstract reports 'no significant differences in stroke-free survival' across TyG quartiles.
Results
The TyG index was not independently associated with incident stroke in multivariable Cox models, whether analyzed as quartiles or as a continuous variable.
Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, and smoking status.
Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were estimated.
No significant independent association was found in either categorical or continuous analyses.
Conclusions
The authors conclude the TyG index has limited prognostic utility for stroke risk prediction in elderly patients with T2DM.
This contrasts with prior evidence linking the TyG index to stroke in general populations.
Evidence on the TyG index's prognostic value for incident stroke in elderly T2DM patients had previously been limited.
What This Means
This study looked at whether the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a blood-test-based marker of insulin resistance calculated from fasting triglycerides and fasting blood sugar, could predict who would have a stroke among older adults with type 2 diabetes. Researchers reviewed records of 1024 patients aged 60 and over at a hospital in Northern Thailand and followed them for an average of 4.7 years. During that time, 51 patients (5.0%) had a CT-confirmed stroke.
Patients with higher TyG index values tended to have worse metabolic health overall. However, stroke-free survival did not differ meaningfully between those with lower and higher TyG levels. After accounting for age, sex, high blood pressure, and smoking, the TyG index was not independently linked to stroke, whether patients were grouped into quartiles or the index was treated as a continuous number.
This research suggests that, although the TyG index has been tied to stroke in the general population, it may not be a useful tool for predicting stroke in older people who already have type 2 diabetes. The study was retrospective and had a relatively small number of stroke events, so these findings may not settle the question.
Prakongyot C, Thohnabutr K, Sopa N, Khumsen N, Chotrattanadachdacho S. (2026). Triglyceride-Glucose Index and Incident Stroke in Elderly Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Cohort Study.. Acta neurologica Taiwanica. https://doi.org/10.4103/ant.ANT-D-26-00010