Aging & Longevity

Unveiling tumor senescence-driven prognostic heterogeneity via MALISS in stage II/III colorectal cancer.

TL;DR

A machine learning-based immunosenescence signature (MALISS) using a 30-gene CoxBoost-Lasso model effectively stratifies stage II/III colorectal cancer patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct progression-free survival and provides insights into tumor biology including mutational landscape, tumor microenvironment, and drug sensitivity.

Key Findings

MALISS was developed as a 30-gene prognostic signature using a CoxBoost-Lasso algorithm applied to transcriptomic data from 1296 patients with stage II/III colorectal cancer.

  • The model was derived from transcriptomic data encompassing 1296 patients total
  • The CoxBoost-Lasso algorithm was selected for final model construction among machine learning approaches
  • The final signature comprises 30 genes focused on immunosenescence
  • The model was validated across multiple independent cohorts beyond the discovery dataset

MALISS effectively stratified stage II/III CRC patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct progression-free survival outcomes.

  • Patients were dichotomized into high-risk and low-risk groups based on MALISS scores
  • The signature demonstrated significant differences in progression-free survival between risk groups
  • Validation was performed across multiple independent cohorts to confirm prognostic performance
  • The signature addressed the prognostic heterogeneity challenge in stage II/III CRC clinical management

NR1D2 was identified as a key gene in MALISS that promotes tumor migration through cellular senescence.

  • Functional analysis identified NR1D2 as a biologically significant gene within the MALISS signature
  • NR1D2 was shown to promote tumor migration via a cellular senescence mechanism
  • This finding links immunosenescence biology directly to tumor invasive behavior in CRC
  • NR1D2's role was identified through functional analysis of the signature genes

The high-risk MALISS group was characterized by a unique mutational landscape, an altered tumor microenvironment, and differential drug sensitivity compared to the low-risk group.

  • High-risk patients exhibited a distinct mutational landscape relative to low-risk patients
  • The tumor microenvironment composition differed between high- and low-risk groups
  • Differential drug sensitivity was observed between risk groups, suggesting potential therapeutic implications
  • These characteristics collectively defined the biological distinctiveness of the high-risk group

A prognostic nomogram integrating MALISS with clinical biomarkers demonstrated improved predictive performance over MALISS alone.

  • The nomogram combined MALISS scores with clinical biomarkers to enhance prognostication
  • Integration of clinical variables with the molecular signature improved predictive performance
  • The nomogram was developed to facilitate clinical translation of the MALISS tool
  • This combined model was designed to address the prognostic heterogeneity in stage II/III CRC management

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Citation

Liu X, Liu B, Tong Y, Zhu X, Sang Y, Gao F, et al.. (2026). Unveiling tumor senescence-driven prognostic heterogeneity via MALISS in stage II/III colorectal cancer.. Frontiers in immunology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1744719