A machine learning-based immunosenescence signature (MALISS) using a 30-gene CoxBoost-Lasso model effectively stratifies stage II/III colorectal cancer patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct progression-free survival and provides insights into tumor biology including mutational landscape, tumor microenvironment, and drug sensitivity.
Key Findings
Methods
MALISS was developed as a 30-gene prognostic signature using a CoxBoost-Lasso algorithm applied to transcriptomic data from 1296 patients with stage II/III colorectal cancer.
The model was derived from transcriptomic data encompassing 1296 patients total
The CoxBoost-Lasso algorithm was selected for final model construction among machine learning approaches
The final signature comprises 30 genes focused on immunosenescence
The model was validated across multiple independent cohorts beyond the discovery dataset
Results
MALISS effectively stratified stage II/III CRC patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct progression-free survival outcomes.
Patients were dichotomized into high-risk and low-risk groups based on MALISS scores
The signature demonstrated significant differences in progression-free survival between risk groups
Validation was performed across multiple independent cohorts to confirm prognostic performance
The signature addressed the prognostic heterogeneity challenge in stage II/III CRC clinical management
Results
NR1D2 was identified as a key gene in MALISS that promotes tumor migration through cellular senescence.
Functional analysis identified NR1D2 as a biologically significant gene within the MALISS signature
NR1D2 was shown to promote tumor migration via a cellular senescence mechanism
This finding links immunosenescence biology directly to tumor invasive behavior in CRC
NR1D2's role was identified through functional analysis of the signature genes
Results
The high-risk MALISS group was characterized by a unique mutational landscape, an altered tumor microenvironment, and differential drug sensitivity compared to the low-risk group.
High-risk patients exhibited a distinct mutational landscape relative to low-risk patients
The tumor microenvironment composition differed between high- and low-risk groups
Differential drug sensitivity was observed between risk groups, suggesting potential therapeutic implications
These characteristics collectively defined the biological distinctiveness of the high-risk group
Results
A prognostic nomogram integrating MALISS with clinical biomarkers demonstrated improved predictive performance over MALISS alone.
The nomogram combined MALISS scores with clinical biomarkers to enhance prognostication
Integration of clinical variables with the molecular signature improved predictive performance
The nomogram was developed to facilitate clinical translation of the MALISS tool
This combined model was designed to address the prognostic heterogeneity in stage II/III CRC management
Liu X, Liu B, Tong Y, Zhu X, Sang Y, Gao F, et al.. (2026). Unveiling tumor senescence-driven prognostic heterogeneity via MALISS in stage II/III colorectal cancer.. Frontiers in immunology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1744719