Among Japanese deceased-donor kidney transplant waiting list patients, 40% had obesity, 24% had sarcopenia, and nearly 50% exhibited malnutrition, with the fat mass index/fat-free mass index ratio being the strongest predictor of death or hospitalization within 1 year.
Key Findings
Results
A substantial proportion of patients on the deceased-donor kidney transplant waiting list demonstrated frailty characterized by obesity, sarcopenia, and malnutrition.
Study included 134 patients on the DDKT waiting list starting December 2023
Median age was 58 years, 68% were male
40% had obesity, 24% had sarcopenia, and nearly 50% exhibited malnutrition
Median dialysis duration was 10 years
Results
During 1 year of follow-up, 34 events (25%) occurred among wait-listed patients, comprising seven deaths and 27 hospitalizations.
25% event rate over 1 year
Seven deaths occurred during the follow-up period
27 hospitalizations occurred secondary to infection, malignancy, or heart failure
Death or hospitalization within 1 year was defined as the composite event endpoint
Results
The fat mass index/fat-free mass index (FMI/FFMI) ratio was the strongest predictor of death or hospitalization within 1 year.
Random forest and SHapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) analyses were used to identify predictors
FMI/FFMI ratio was ranked as the strongest event predictor
This was followed in predictive importance by low grip strength, reduced skeletal muscle mass index (SMI), low Survival Index, and low phase angle
Age, comorbidity index, and several nutritional indices showed limited predictive contributions
Methods
Body composition was assessed using multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis and handgrip strength measurement.
Multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis was used to assess body composition
Nutritional indices calculated included Survival Index, Prognostic Nutritional Index, Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, and Nutrition Risk Index for Japanese Hemodialysis Patients
Handgrip strength was also measured as part of the assessment
The study was a retrospective analysis
Conclusions
Objective body composition indicators, particularly FMI/FFMI, may aid in evaluating vulnerability and eligibility during registration and renewal for deceased-donor kidney transplantation.
Waiting times for DDKT in Japan are prolonged and objective data on frailty among wait-listed patients are limited
The authors suggest integrating these measures into standardized national criteria
The authors propose this approach may improve equity and outcomes in DDKT candidate selection
FMI/FFMI outperformed age, comorbidity index, and nutritional indices as a predictor
Hori S, Tomizawa M, Inoue K, Yoneda T, Tachibana A, Oda Y, et al.. (2026). Vulnerability and short clinical outcomes in patients on the deceased-donor kidney transplant waiting list.. Clinical and experimental nephrology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10157-026-02834-9