Mental Health

Young adults in times of overlapping social crises: dynamic profiles of mental health and crisis-related concerns using latent transition analysis

TL;DR

A five-profile solution best described mental health trajectories of young Polish adults across three waves during overlapping crises, with most participants remaining in the same profile, while emotion regulation difficulties and attachment anxiety increased likelihood of membership in highly distressed profiles and social support, lower attachment avoidance, and place identity facilitated adaptive transitions.

Key Findings

A five-profile solution best fit the data at each of three waves, revealing distinct combinations of anxiety, depression, life satisfaction, and crisis-related concerns among young adults.

  • Profiles were labeled: (1) Severely Distressed & Highly Concerned, (2) Highly Distressed & Moderately Concerned, (3) Highly Worried but Satisfied, (4) Content & Mildly Concerned, and (5) Content & Carefree
  • Wave 1 proportions: 14.5%, 26.8%, 24.9%, 30.2%, and 3.6% respectively
  • Latent Profile Analysis (LPA) and Latent Transition Analysis (LTA) were used to identify profiles and transitions across waves
  • The study used a representative Polish sample of N = 1,110 young adults aged 18–30 (M = 24.32, SD = 3.74)

The majority of young adults remained in the same mental health profile across all three measurement waves (July 2023, February 2024, September 2024).

  • Three waves spanned approximately 14 months from July 2023 to September 2024
  • Profile stability was a dominant pattern in the latent transition analysis
  • This stability occurred across a period encompassing multiple overlapping societal crises including COVID-19 aftermath, war in Ukraine, economic turbulence, climate change, and rapid AI growth
  • The finding suggests that mental health trajectories in polycrisis conditions tend toward persistence rather than change over this timeframe

Emotion regulation difficulties and attachment anxiety increased the likelihood of membership in highly distressed profiles.

  • These were identified as individual-level (emotion regulation) and relational-level (attachment anxiety) risk factors
  • Both variables were examined as predictors within a multisystemic resilience framework
  • They were associated with membership in profiles characterized by high distress levels (Severely Distressed & Highly Concerned and Highly Distressed & Moderately Concerned)
  • The findings are consistent with dual-factor model of mental health predictions

Lower attachment avoidance, higher social support, and place identity facilitated adaptive transitions toward profiles characterized by lower distress or recovery.

  • These relational and contextual resources were associated with movement toward more adaptive mental health profiles across waves
  • Social support was operationalized as a contextual/relational resource in the multisystemic resilience model
  • Place identity (a component of place attachment) was specifically identified as a protective factor
  • Attachment avoidance, as distinct from attachment anxiety, showed a different directional relationship with mental health outcomes

Active place attachment and social engagement were distinctly associated with the subgroup marked by high crisis-related concerns but preserved well-being (Highly Worried but Satisfied profile).

  • The 'Highly Worried but Satisfied' profile comprised 24.9% of participants at Wave 1
  • This profile was characterized by high crisis-related concerns co-existing with maintained life satisfaction
  • Active place attachment and social engagement distinguished this profile from others, suggesting these factors support well-being even amid heightened crisis awareness
  • This finding reflects the dual-factor model in which distress indicators and well-being indicators can diverge

The study sample consisted of representative Polish young adults with a near-even gender distribution across three data collection waves.

  • N = 1,110 participants; 51.1% women, 48.5% men, 0.5% another/undisclosed gender
  • Age range 18–30 years (M = 24.32, SD = 3.74)
  • Data collected at Wave 1 (July 2023), Wave 2 (February 2024), and Wave 3 (September 2024)
  • Predictors included emotion-regulation difficulties, attachment anxiety/avoidance, social support, social engagement, place attachment, and socioeconomic indicators

The largest single mental health profile at Wave 1 was 'Content & Mildly Concerned,' comprising approximately 30% of young adults, while the smallest was 'Content & Carefree' at 3.6%.

  • Content & Mildly Concerned: 30.2% of the sample at Wave 1
  • Content & Carefree: 3.6% of the sample at Wave 1
  • Together, the two highly distressed profiles (Severely Distressed & Highly Concerned and Highly Distressed & Moderately Concerned) accounted for 41.3% of participants at Wave 1
  • The Highly Worried but Satisfied profile (24.9%) represented a distinct subgroup combining high concern with maintained satisfaction

What This Means

This research suggests that young adults (ages 18–30) in Poland during 2023–2024 fell into five distinct groups based on their combinations of anxiety, depression, life satisfaction, and worry about societal crises such as the COVID-19 aftermath, the war in Ukraine, economic problems, climate change, and AI growth. The largest group (about 30%) reported mild concern with overall contentment, while over 40% of young people fell into profiles marked by high distress. Notably, about one in four young adults was highly worried about crises but still reported good life satisfaction — suggesting that concern about the world does not necessarily translate into poor personal well-being. This research suggests that mental health profiles were largely stable over the 14-month study period, meaning that most young people stayed in the same emotional category across three measurement points rather than improving or worsening substantially. However, some individuals did transition between profiles, and certain factors made adaptive change more likely: having good social support, feeling connected to one's community and place, and not avoiding close relationships all helped people move toward better mental health profiles. On the other hand, difficulty managing emotions and anxious attachment to others made it more likely that someone would remain in or move into a highly distressed profile. This research suggests that community engagement and a sense of belonging to a place may play a special role in helping young people stay well even when they are deeply concerned about societal problems. Practically, these findings point toward the value of programs that build emotion regulation skills, strengthen social connections, and foster community ties as ways to support young people navigating an era of multiple overlapping crises — sometimes called a 'polycrisis.' Rather than treating mental health as a single dimension, recognizing that people can be simultaneously worried and satisfied may help in tailoring support to different groups.

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Citation

Małgorzata Gambin, T. Oleksy, A. Wnuk, Izabela Lassota. (2026). Young adults in times of overlapping social crises: dynamic profiles of mental health and crisis-related concerns using latent transition analysis. Globalization and Health. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-026-01199-8